<?xml version="1.0" encoding="utf-8"?> 
<feed version="0.3" xmlns="http://purl.org/atom/ns#" xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xml:lang="zh-tw"> 
<title>曾韋禎的部落格</title> 
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<modified>2012-02-15T18:00:06+08:00</modified> 
<tagline>惟願公平如大水滾滾，使公義如江河滔滔。 阿摩司書5:24</tagline> 
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 <entry> 
 <title>有些事實</title> 
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 <modified>2012-02-14T11:47:40+08:00</modified> 
 <issued>2012-02-14T11:47:40+08:00</issued> 
 <id>tag:blog.roodo.com,2012://50985.18934998</id> 
 <created>2012-02-14T09:47:03+08:00</created> 
  <author>
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</author> 
<dc:subject>政治評論</dc:subject> 
<summary type="text/html" mode="escaped">
<![CDATA[
要檢討蔡英文為什麼會選輸，有些事實基礎是不能忽略的。

地區08得票率12得票率成長金門縣4.87%8.22%68.79%連江縣4.84%8.03%65.91%新竹縣25.98%30.93%19.05%花蓮縣22.52%25.94%15.19%苗栗縣29.01%33.18%14.37%台東縣26.68%30.50%14.32%基隆市32.27%36.77%13.94%桃園縣35.36%39.85%12.70%新竹市35.30%39.49%11.87%台中市39.98%44.68%11.76%新北市38.94%43.46%11.61%南投縣37.97%42.37%11.59%台北市36.97%39.54%6.95%屏東縣50.25%55.13%9.71%彰化縣42.41%46.49%9.62%澎湖縣42.07%45.65%8.51%雲林縣51.53%55.81%8.31%台南市53.33%57.72%8.23%宜蘭縣48.58%52.53%8.13%嘉義縣54.44%58.58%7.60%高雄市49.74%53.42%7.40%嘉義市47.61%51.04%7.20%
這是2012年總統大選，相較於2008年的成長。很明顯可以看到，除了台北市，2008年得票低於全國平均的縣市，成長幅度都超過一成；除了台北市所有得票率成長不到一成的縣市，都是2008年得票高於全國平均的。]]>
</summary> 
<content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="zh-tw" xml:base="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18934998.html">
<![CDATA[
	要檢討蔡英文為什麼會選輸，有些事實基礎是不能忽略的。

<table border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="288" style="width: 216pt; border-collapse: collapse"><tbody><tr height="22" style="height: 16.5pt"><td class="xl25" width="72" height="22" style="background-color: transparent; width: 54pt; height: 16.5pt; border: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="新細明體">地區</font></td><td class="xl26" width="72" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; width: 54pt; border-top: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">08</font><font face="細明體" class="font6">得票率</font></td><td class="xl26" width="72" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; width: 54pt; border-top: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">12</font><font face="細明體" class="font6">得票率</font></td><td class="xl27" width="72" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; width: 54pt; border-top: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="細明體">成長</font></td></tr><tr height="22" style="height: 16.5pt"><td class="xl28" height="22" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext 0.5pt solid; background-color: #99ccff; height: 16.5pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="新細明體">金門縣</font></td><td class="xl29" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #99ccff; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">4.87%</font></td><td class="xl29" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #99ccff; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">8.22%</font></td><td class="xl29" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #99ccff; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">68.79%</font></td></tr><tr height="22" style="height: 16.5pt"><td class="xl28" height="22" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext 0.5pt solid; background-color: #99ccff; height: 16.5pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="新細明體">連江縣</font></td><td class="xl29" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #99ccff; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">4.84%</font></td><td class="xl29" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #99ccff; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">8.03%</font></td><td class="xl29" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #99ccff; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">65.91%</font></td></tr><tr height="22" style="height: 16.5pt"><td class="xl28" height="22" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext 0.5pt solid; background-color: #99ccff; height: 16.5pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="新細明體">新竹縣</font></td><td class="xl29" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #99ccff; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">25.98%</font></td><td class="xl29" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #99ccff; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">30.93%</font></td><td class="xl29" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #99ccff; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">19.05%</font></td></tr><tr height="22" style="height: 16.5pt"><td class="xl28" height="22" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext 0.5pt solid; background-color: #99ccff; height: 16.5pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="新細明體">花蓮縣</font></td><td class="xl29" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #99ccff; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">22.52%</font></td><td class="xl29" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #99ccff; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">25.94%</font></td><td class="xl29" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #99ccff; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">15.19%</font></td></tr><tr height="22" style="height: 16.5pt"><td class="xl28" height="22" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext 0.5pt solid; background-color: #99ccff; height: 16.5pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="新細明體">苗栗縣</font></td><td class="xl29" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #99ccff; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">29.01%</font></td><td class="xl29" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #99ccff; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">33.18%</font></td><td class="xl29" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #99ccff; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">14.37%</font></td></tr><tr height="22" style="height: 16.5pt"><td class="xl28" height="22" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext 0.5pt solid; background-color: #99ccff; height: 16.5pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="新細明體">台東縣</font></td><td class="xl29" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #99ccff; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">26.68%</font></td><td class="xl29" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #99ccff; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">30.50%</font></td><td class="xl29" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #99ccff; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">14.32%</font></td></tr><tr height="22" style="height: 16.5pt"><td class="xl28" height="22" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext 0.5pt solid; background-color: #99ccff; height: 16.5pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="新細明體">基隆市</font></td><td class="xl29" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #99ccff; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">32.27%</font></td><td class="xl29" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #99ccff; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">36.77%</font></td><td class="xl29" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #99ccff; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">13.94%</font></td></tr><tr height="22" style="height: 16.5pt"><td class="xl28" height="22" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext 0.5pt solid; background-color: #99ccff; height: 16.5pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="新細明體">桃園縣</font></td><td class="xl29" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #99ccff; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">35.36%</font></td><td class="xl29" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #99ccff; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">39.85%</font></td><td class="xl29" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #99ccff; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">12.70%</font></td></tr><tr height="22" style="height: 16.5pt"><td class="xl28" height="22" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext 0.5pt solid; background-color: #99ccff; height: 16.5pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="新細明體">新竹市</font></td><td class="xl29" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #99ccff; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">35.30%</font></td><td class="xl29" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #99ccff; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">39.49%</font></td><td class="xl29" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #99ccff; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">11.87%</font></td></tr><tr height="22" style="height: 16.5pt"><td class="xl28" height="22" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext 0.5pt solid; background-color: #99ccff; height: 16.5pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="新細明體">台中市</font></td><td class="xl29" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #99ccff; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">39.98%</font></td><td class="xl29" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #99ccff; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">44.68%</font></td><td class="xl29" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #99ccff; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">11.76%</font></td></tr><tr height="22" style="height: 16.5pt"><td class="xl28" height="22" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext 0.5pt solid; background-color: #99ccff; height: 16.5pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="新細明體">新北市</font></td><td class="xl29" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #99ccff; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">38.94%</font></td><td class="xl29" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #99ccff; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">43.46%</font></td><td class="xl29" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #99ccff; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">11.61%</font></td></tr><tr height="22" style="height: 16.5pt"><td class="xl28" height="22" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext 0.5pt solid; background-color: #99ccff; height: 16.5pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="新細明體">南投縣</font></td><td class="xl29" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #99ccff; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">37.97%</font></td><td class="xl29" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #99ccff; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">42.37%</font></td><td class="xl29" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #99ccff; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">11.59%</font></td></tr><tr height="22" style="height: 16.5pt"><td class="xl30" height="22" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext 0.5pt solid; background-color: #99ccff; height: 16.5pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="新細明體" color="#ff0000">台北市</font></td><td class="xl31" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #99ccff; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia" color="#ff0000">36.97%</font></td><td class="xl31" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #99ccff; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia" color="#ff0000">39.54%</font></td><td class="xl34" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #99ccff; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><strong><font face="Georgia" color="#ff0000">6.95%</font></strong></td></tr><tr height="22" style="height: 16.5pt"><td class="xl32" height="22" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext 0.5pt solid; background-color: #ccffcc; height: 16.5pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="新細明體">屏東縣</font></td><td class="xl33" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #ccffcc; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">50.25%</font></td><td class="xl33" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #ccffcc; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">55.13%</font></td><td class="xl33" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #ccffcc; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">9.71%</font></td></tr><tr height="22" style="height: 16.5pt"><td class="xl32" height="22" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext 0.5pt solid; background-color: #ccffcc; height: 16.5pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="新細明體">彰化縣</font></td><td class="xl33" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #ccffcc; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">42.41%</font></td><td class="xl33" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #ccffcc; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">46.49%</font></td><td class="xl33" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #ccffcc; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">9.62%</font></td></tr><tr height="22" style="height: 16.5pt"><td class="xl32" height="22" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext 0.5pt solid; background-color: #ccffcc; height: 16.5pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="新細明體">澎湖縣</font></td><td class="xl33" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #ccffcc; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">42.07%</font></td><td class="xl33" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #ccffcc; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">45.65%</font></td><td class="xl33" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #ccffcc; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">8.51%</font></td></tr><tr height="22" style="height: 16.5pt"><td class="xl32" height="22" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext 0.5pt solid; background-color: #ccffcc; height: 16.5pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="新細明體">雲林縣</font></td><td class="xl33" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #ccffcc; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">51.53%</font></td><td class="xl33" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #ccffcc; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">55.81%</font></td><td class="xl33" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #ccffcc; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">8.31%</font></td></tr><tr height="22" style="height: 16.5pt"><td class="xl32" height="22" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext 0.5pt solid; background-color: #ccffcc; height: 16.5pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="新細明體">台南市</font></td><td class="xl33" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #ccffcc; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">53.33%</font></td><td class="xl33" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #ccffcc; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">57.72%</font></td><td class="xl33" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #ccffcc; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">8.23%</font></td></tr><tr height="22" style="height: 16.5pt"><td class="xl32" height="22" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext 0.5pt solid; background-color: #ccffcc; height: 16.5pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="新細明體">宜蘭縣</font></td><td class="xl33" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #ccffcc; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">48.58%</font></td><td class="xl33" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #ccffcc; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">52.53%</font></td><td class="xl33" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #ccffcc; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">8.13%</font></td></tr><tr height="22" style="height: 16.5pt"><td class="xl32" height="22" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext 0.5pt solid; background-color: #ccffcc; height: 16.5pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="新細明體">嘉義縣</font></td><td class="xl33" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #ccffcc; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">54.44%</font></td><td class="xl33" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #ccffcc; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">58.58%</font></td><td class="xl33" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #ccffcc; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">7.60%</font></td></tr><tr height="22" style="height: 16.5pt"><td class="xl32" height="22" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext 0.5pt solid; background-color: #ccffcc; height: 16.5pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="新細明體">高雄市</font></td><td class="xl33" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #ccffcc; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">49.74%</font></td><td class="xl33" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #ccffcc; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">53.42%</font></td><td class="xl33" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #ccffcc; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">7.40%</font></td></tr><tr height="22" style="height: 16.5pt"><td class="xl32" height="22" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext 0.5pt solid; background-color: #ccffcc; height: 16.5pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="新細明體">嘉義市</font></td><td class="xl33" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #ccffcc; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">47.61%</font></td><td class="xl33" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #ccffcc; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">51.04%</font></td><td class="xl33" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: #ccffcc; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">7.20%</font></td></tr></tbody></table>
這是2012年總統大選，相較於2008年的成長。很明顯可以看到，<b>除了台北市</b>，2008年得票低於全國平均的縣市，成長幅度都超過一成；<b>除了台北市</b>所有得票率成長不到一成的縣市，都是2008年得票高於全國平均的。
	<a href="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18934998.html">(繼續閱讀...)</a>]]>
</content>
</entry> 
 <entry> 
 <title>江宜樺將是下一個馬英九</title> 
 <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18825618.html" /> 
 <modified>2012-01-28T10:31:12+08:00</modified> 
 <issued>2012-01-28T10:31:12+08:00</issued> 
 <id>tag:blog.roodo.com,2012://50985.18825618</id> 
 <created>2012-01-28T08:34:18+08:00</created> 
  <author>
 <name></name> 
 <url>http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/</url> 
 
</author> 
<dc:subject>我「愛」馬英九</dc:subject> 
<summary type="text/html" mode="escaped">
<![CDATA[
在半個月的考慮後，江宜樺決定放棄台大教職，出任行政院副院長。這意味著，他已經決定專心從政；這也意味著，繼馬英九之後，民進黨最可怕的對手已經出現了，因為江宜樺將是下一個馬英九。

常有一些書生型的民進黨支持者對江宜樺頗不以為然，老愛拿江宜樺的新自由主義去比對內政部的種種施政，並嗤之以鼻。可惜，這群完全不懂政治的書生（通常都高舉左派大旗，身兼樂生、綠黨的支持者），就只會在理想的模型上去論政，完全沒考慮到政治在實際面該如何運作（所以才會支持樂生、綠黨）；所幸，這些人的意見永遠不會是主流，也無法影響台灣人民的投票意向，否則就天下大亂了。

回到江宜樺身上，江宜樺是一個非常精明、謹慎、認真的政務首長。他願意放棄教職，專心從政，馬英九也一定會栽培江宜樺走他所走過的路。

跟馬英九相比，江宜樺一樣是具有高學歷，不遜於馬英九的外表及親和力，頂多矮了點。可是江宜樺還有更大的優勢，他是台灣人，從小就會說台語，甚至連國語也有點台灣腔；更可怕的是，不管是當學者還是當政務官，江宜樺的表現，都比當年的馬英九好非常多。]]>
</summary> 
<content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="zh-tw" xml:base="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18825618.html">
<![CDATA[
	在半個月的考慮後，江宜樺決定放棄台大教職，出任行政院副院長。這意味著，他已經決定專心從政；這也意味著，繼馬英九之後，民進黨最可怕的對手已經出現了，因為江宜樺將是下一個馬英九。

常有一些書生型的民進黨支持者對江宜樺頗不以為然，老愛拿江宜樺的新自由主義去比對內政部的種種施政，並嗤之以鼻。可惜，這群完全不懂政治的書生（通常都高舉左派大旗，身兼樂生、綠黨的支持者），就只會在理想的模型上去論政，完全沒考慮到政治在實際面該如何運作（所以才會支持樂生、綠黨）；所幸，這些人的意見永遠不會是主流，也無法影響台灣人民的投票意向，否則就天下大亂了。

回到江宜樺身上，江宜樺是一個非常精明、謹慎、認真的政務首長。他願意放棄教職，專心從政，馬英九也一定會栽培江宜樺走他所走過的路。

跟馬英九相比，江宜樺一樣是具有高學歷，不遜於馬英九的外表及親和力，頂多矮了點。可是江宜樺還有更大的優勢，他是台灣人，從小就會說台語，甚至連國語也有點台灣腔；更可怕的是，不管是當學者還是當政務官，江宜樺的表現，都比當年的馬英九好非常多。
	<a href="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18825618.html">(繼續閱讀...)</a>]]>
</content>
</entry> 
 <entry> 
 <title>拿不出政績靠奧步？ 恐難讓人心服</title> 
 <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18776338.html" /> 
 <modified>2012-01-15T13:04:51+08:00</modified> 
 <issued>2012-01-15T13:04:51+08:00</issued> 
 <id>tag:blog.roodo.com,2012://50985.18776338</id> 
 <created>2012-01-15T13:01:29+08:00</created> 
  <author>
 <name></name> 
 <url>http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/</url> 
 
</author> 
<dc:subject>我「愛」馬英九</dc:subject> 
<summary type="text/html" mode="escaped">
<![CDATA[
馬英九連任選戰奧步表類型內容合併選舉‧&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 為借立委候選人拉抬總統選情，政府以節省經費為由，決定總統、立委併選。‧&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 製造長逾四個月的交接期。‧&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 投票日在農曆年前一周，降低中南部選民返鄉投票意願。‧&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 投票日介於大學期末考、期末報告期間，降低學生投票意願。‧&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 因總統選舉提前到一月投票，估計約讓5萬首投族因此喪失選舉資格。宇昌抹黑案蔡英文被動參與宇昌案的過程完全合法，但經建會卻刻意偽造文書抹黑，特偵組也配合啟動。國安監蒐‧&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 直屬總統的國安會，直接指揮調查局對蔡英文進行情蒐。‧&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 調查局甚至在民進黨初選時，就進行監控。壓縮宋楚瑜國民黨透過媒體，不斷放出不實謠言抹黑宋楚瑜，操作棄保效應。行政不中立‧&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 各部會花大錢登廣告替馬助選。‧&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 各部會、公營事業動員替馬造勢。‧&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 政府機關主辦的活動，淪馬造勢大會，禁其他陣營拜票。‧&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 動用國安基金進行選舉護盤。中國介入助選‧&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 中國各省市透過採購團，政治認養台灣各縣市。‧&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 為避免引發反感，中國要求省長、書記選前少來台灣。‧&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 中國台辦透過台商會，動員台商挺馬。‧&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 中國恐嚇若蔡當選，兩岸關係將退回扁時期。恐嚇牌‧&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 藍營不斷大打兩岸安定牌與恐嚇牌，聲稱不承認九二共識的蔡英文會為台灣帶來危險。‧&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 動員大老闆力挺九二共識。賄選‧&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 多位藍營立委候選人的樁腳，藉併選買票；國民黨卻要蔡英文約束民進黨不要賄選。‧&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 檢調不公，有嚴重賄選嫌疑的不查；反大動作搜索、調查綠營候選人，卻毫無所獲。馬英九在二○○八年挾二二一萬票的超大差距贏得總統大選，但在執政近四年來，人民感受不到實質政績，支持度直直落，他競選連任時，更有許多選戰策略遭到在野黨質疑是「奧步」。雖然最後慘勝，但對手恐難心服。]]>
</summary> 
<content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="zh-tw" xml:base="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18776338.html">
<![CDATA[
	<table border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" class="MsoTableGrid" style="border-collapse: collapse; border: medium none"><tbody><tr><td colspan="2" width="499" valign="top" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: white 1pt solid; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 5.4pt; width: 374.4pt; padding-right: 5.4pt; border-top: white 1pt solid; border-right: white 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體">馬英九連任選戰奧步表</span><span></span></td></tr><tr><td width="103" valign="top" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 5.4pt; width: 77.4pt; padding-right: 5.4pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體">類型</span><span></span></td><td width="396" valign="top" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 5.4pt; width: 297pt; padding-right: 5.4pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體">內容</span><span></span></td></tr><tr style="height: 35.25pt"><td rowspan="5" width="103" valign="top" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 5.4pt; width: 77.4pt; padding-right: 5.4pt; height: 35.25pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體">合併選舉</span><span></span></td><td width="396" valign="top" style="border-bottom: white 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 5.4pt; width: 297pt; padding-right: 5.4pt; height: 35.25pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體"><span>‧<span style="font: 7pt 'Times New Roman'">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span><span style="font-family: 新細明體">為借立委候選人拉抬總統選情，政府以節省經費為由，決定總統、立委併選。</span><span></span></td></tr><tr style="height: 15.75pt"><td width="396" valign="top" style="border-bottom: white 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 5.4pt; width: 297pt; padding-right: 5.4pt; height: 15.75pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體"><span>‧<span style="font: 7pt 'Times New Roman'">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span><span style="font-family: 新細明體">製造長逾四個月的交接期。</span><span></span></td></tr><tr style="height: 33.75pt"><td width="396" valign="top" style="border-bottom: white 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 5.4pt; width: 297pt; padding-right: 5.4pt; height: 33.75pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體"><span>‧<span style="font: 7pt 'Times New Roman'">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span><span style="font-family: 新細明體">投票日在農曆年前一周，降低中南部選民返鄉投票意願。</span><span></span></td></tr><tr style="height: 33pt"><td width="396" valign="top" style="border-bottom: white 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 5.4pt; width: 297pt; padding-right: 5.4pt; height: 33pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體"><span>‧<span style="font: 7pt 'Times New Roman'">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span><span style="font-family: 新細明體">投票日介於大學期末考、期末報告期間，降低學生投票意願。</span><span></span></td></tr><tr style="height: 42pt"><td width="396" valign="top" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 5.4pt; width: 297pt; padding-right: 5.4pt; height: 42pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體"><span>‧<span style="font: 7pt 'Times New Roman'">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span><span style="font-family: 新細明體">因總統選舉提前到一月投票，估計約讓</span><span><font face="Times New Roman">5</font></span><span style="font-family: 新細明體">萬首投族因此喪失選舉資格。</span><span></span></td></tr><tr><td width="103" valign="top" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 5.4pt; width: 77.4pt; padding-right: 5.4pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體">宇昌抹黑案</span><span></span></td><td width="396" valign="top" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 5.4pt; width: 297pt; padding-right: 5.4pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體">蔡英文被動參與宇昌案的過程完全合法，但經建會卻刻意偽造文書抹黑，特偵組也配合啟動。</span><span></span></td></tr><tr style="height: 26.25pt"><td rowspan="2" width="103" valign="top" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 5.4pt; width: 77.4pt; padding-right: 5.4pt; height: 26.25pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體">國安監蒐</span><span></span></td><td width="396" valign="top" style="border-bottom: white 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 5.4pt; width: 297pt; padding-right: 5.4pt; height: 26.25pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體"><span>‧<span style="font: 7pt 'Times New Roman'">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span><span style="font-family: 新細明體">直屬總統的國安會，直接指揮調查局對蔡英文進行情蒐。</span><span></span></td></tr><tr style="height: 27.75pt"><td width="396" valign="top" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 5.4pt; width: 297pt; padding-right: 5.4pt; height: 27.75pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體"><span>‧<span style="font: 7pt 'Times New Roman'">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span><span style="font-family: 新細明體">調查局甚至在民進黨初選時，就進行監控。</span><span></span></td></tr><tr><td width="103" valign="top" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 5.4pt; width: 77.4pt; padding-right: 5.4pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體">壓縮宋楚瑜</span><span></span></td><td width="396" valign="top" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 5.4pt; width: 297pt; padding-right: 5.4pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體">國民黨透過媒體，不斷放出不實謠言抹黑宋楚瑜，操作棄保效應。</span><span></span></td></tr><tr style="height: 15pt"><td rowspan="4" width="103" valign="top" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 5.4pt; width: 77.4pt; padding-right: 5.4pt; height: 15pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體">行政不中立</span><span></span></td><td width="396" valign="top" style="border-bottom: white 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 5.4pt; width: 297pt; padding-right: 5.4pt; height: 15pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體"><span>‧<span style="font: 7pt 'Times New Roman'">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span><span style="font-family: 新細明體">各部會花大錢登廣告替馬助選。</span><span></span></td></tr><tr style="height: 13.5pt"><td width="396" valign="top" style="border-bottom: white 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 5.4pt; width: 297pt; padding-right: 5.4pt; height: 13.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體"><span>‧<span style="font: 7pt 'Times New Roman'">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span><span style="font-family: 新細明體">各部會、公營事業動員替馬造勢。</span><span></span></td></tr><tr style="height: 30.75pt"><td width="396" valign="top" style="border-bottom: white 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 5.4pt; width: 297pt; padding-right: 5.4pt; height: 30.75pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體"><span>‧<span style="font: 7pt 'Times New Roman'">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span><span style="font-family: 新細明體">政府機關主辦的活動，淪馬造勢大會，禁其他陣營拜票。</span><span></span></td></tr><tr style="height: 29.25pt"><td width="396" valign="top" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 5.4pt; width: 297pt; padding-right: 5.4pt; height: 29.25pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體"><span>‧<span style="font: 7pt 'Times New Roman'">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span><span style="font-family: 新細明體">動用國安基金進行選舉護盤。</span><span></span></td></tr><tr style="height: 19.5pt"><td rowspan="4" width="103" valign="top" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 5.4pt; width: 77.4pt; padding-right: 5.4pt; height: 19.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體">中國介入助選</span><span></span></td><td width="396" valign="top" style="border-bottom: white 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 5.4pt; width: 297pt; padding-right: 5.4pt; height: 19.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體"><span>‧<span style="font: 7pt 'Times New Roman'">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span><span style="font-family: 新細明體">中國各省市透過採購團，政治認養台灣各縣市。</span><span></span></td></tr><tr style="height: 35.25pt"><td width="396" valign="top" style="border-bottom: white 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 5.4pt; width: 297pt; padding-right: 5.4pt; height: 35.25pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體"><span>‧<span style="font: 7pt 'Times New Roman'">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span><span style="font-family: 新細明體">為避免引發反感，中國要求省長、書記選前少來台灣。</span><span></span></td></tr><tr style="height: 16.5pt"><td width="396" valign="top" style="border-bottom: white 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 5.4pt; width: 297pt; padding-right: 5.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體"><span>‧<span style="font: 7pt 'Times New Roman'">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span><span style="font-family: 新細明體">中國台辦透過台商會，動員台商挺馬。</span><span></span></td></tr><tr style="height: 18.75pt"><td width="396" valign="top" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 5.4pt; width: 297pt; padding-right: 5.4pt; height: 18.75pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體"><span>‧<span style="font: 7pt 'Times New Roman'">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span><span style="font-family: 新細明體">中國恐嚇若蔡當選，兩岸關係將退回扁時期。</span><span></span></td></tr><tr style="height: 33pt"><td rowspan="2" width="103" valign="top" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 5.4pt; width: 77.4pt; padding-right: 5.4pt; height: 33pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體">恐嚇牌</span><span></span></td><td width="396" valign="top" style="border-bottom: white 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 5.4pt; width: 297pt; padding-right: 5.4pt; height: 33pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體"><span>‧<span style="font: 7pt 'Times New Roman'">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span><span style="font-family: 新細明體">藍營不斷大打兩岸安定牌與恐嚇牌，聲稱不承認九二共識的蔡英文會為台灣帶來危險。</span><span></span></td></tr><tr style="height: 20.25pt"><td width="396" valign="top" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 5.4pt; width: 297pt; padding-right: 5.4pt; height: 20.25pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體"><span>‧<span style="font: 7pt 'Times New Roman'">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span><span style="font-family: 新細明體">動員大老闆力挺九二共識。</span><span></span></td></tr><tr style="height: 39pt"><td rowspan="2" width="103" valign="top" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 5.4pt; width: 77.4pt; padding-right: 5.4pt; height: 39pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體">賄選</span><span></span></td><td width="396" valign="top" style="border-bottom: white 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 5.4pt; width: 297pt; padding-right: 5.4pt; height: 39pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體"><span>‧<span style="font: 7pt 'Times New Roman'">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span><span style="font-family: 新細明體">多位藍營立委候選人的樁腳，藉併選買票；國民黨卻要蔡英文約束民進黨不要賄選。</span><span></span></td></tr><tr style="height: 33pt"><td width="396" valign="top" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 5.4pt; width: 297pt; padding-right: 5.4pt; height: 33pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體"><span>‧<span style="font: 7pt 'Times New Roman'">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span><span style="font-family: 新細明體">檢調不公，有嚴重賄選嫌疑的不查；反大動作搜索、調查綠營候選人，卻毫無所獲。</span><span></span></td></tr></tbody></table><br />馬英九在二○○八年挾二二一萬票的超大差距贏得總統大選，但在執政近四年來，人民感受不到實質政績，支持度直直落，他競選連任時，更有許多選戰策略遭到在野黨質疑是「奧步」。雖然最後慘勝，但對手恐難心服。
	<a href="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18776338.html">(繼續閱讀...)</a>]]>
</content>
</entry> 
 <entry> 
 <title>併選效應</title> 
 <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18776330.html" /> 
 <modified>2012-01-15T14:29:15+08:00</modified> 
 <issued>2012-01-15T14:29:15+08:00</issued> 
 <id>tag:blog.roodo.com,2012://50985.18776330</id> 
 <created>2012-01-15T12:45:58+08:00</created> 
  <author>
 <name></name> 
 <url>http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/</url> 
 
</author> 
<dc:subject>政治評論</dc:subject> 
<summary type="text/html" mode="escaped">
<![CDATA[
我選前的估票不準，錯了就錯了，沒什麼好說的。

不過從中也能看出問題何在，併選讓投票日接近農曆年，加上宋楚瑜被徹底壓縮、棄保，造成這樣的結果。

民進黨要打贏全國性選戰，一定要讓南部的投票率衝破八成才有機會。所以馬政府當初在不在籍投票、併選擺盪了一年多，最後選擇了併選，用幾席立委來確保總統勝選，最後證明發揮了效用。

地區04投票率08投票率預估12投票率12投票率落差台北市81.71%79.19%81%76.78%-4.22%新北市81.31%78.08%80%75.90%-4.10%台中市81.20%76.99%79%75.76%-3.24%台南市81.06%75.43%81%74.18%-6.82%高雄市81.69%77.9380%75.91%-4.09%桃園縣81.33%77.58%79%74.69%-4.31%新竹縣81.80%79.33%80%76.07%-3.93%苗栗縣79.82%76.83%78%74.63%-3.37%彰化縣80.18%75.05%79%73.46%-5.54%南投縣77.97%72.12%76%71.13%-4.87%雲林縣75.94%70.06%75%68.92%-6.08%嘉義縣78.03%72.32%77%72.48%-4.52%屏東縣78.92%73.75%77%72.67%-4.33%台東縣66.45%63.18%65%61.79%-3.21%花蓮縣70.98%68.85%70%64.64%-5.36%宜蘭縣78.46%73.98%77%72.54%-4.46%澎湖縣66.16%60.39%63%59.01%-3.99%基隆市78.35%76.09%77%72.09%-4.91%新竹市81.22%78.52%80%75.68%-4.32%嘉義市80.53%76.34%79%73.53%-5.47%金門縣64.39%53.78%61%46.67%-14.33%連江縣65.66%58.12%62%65.79%3.79%總數80.28%76.33%79%74.38%-4.52%]]>
</summary> 
<content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="zh-tw" xml:base="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18776330.html">
<![CDATA[
	我選前的<a href="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18738991.html"target="_blank">估票</a>不準，錯了就錯了，沒什麼好說的。

不過從中也能看出問題何在，併選讓投票日接近農曆年，加上宋楚瑜被徹底壓縮、棄保，造成這樣的結果。

民進黨要打贏全國性選戰，一定要讓南部的投票率衝破八成才有機會。所以馬政府當初在不在籍投票、併選擺盪了一年多，最後選擇了併選，用幾席立委來確保總統勝選，最後證明發揮了效用。

<table border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="493" style="width: 370pt; border-collapse: collapse"><tbody><tr height="22" style="height: 16.5pt"><td class="xl40" width="72" height="22" style="background-color: transparent; width: 54pt; height: 16.5pt; border: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="新細明體">地區</font></td><td class="xl25" width="72" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; width: 54pt; border-top: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">04</font><font face="細明體" class="font6">投票率</font></td><td class="xl26" width="72" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; width: 54pt; border-top: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid"><font face="Georgia">08</font><font face="細明體" class="font6">投票率</font></td><td class="xl28" width="111" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: transparent; width: 83pt; border-top: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="新細明體">預估12投票率</font></td><td class="xl25" width="94" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; width: 71pt; border-top: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">12</font><font face="新細明體" class="font7">投票率</font></td><td class="xl27" width="72" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; width: 54pt; border-top: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid"><font face="新細明體">落差</font></td></tr><tr height="22" style="height: 16.5pt"><td class="xl41" height="22" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext 0.5pt solid; background-color: transparent; height: 16.5pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="新細明體">台北市</font></td><td class="xl29" width="72" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; width: 54pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">81.71%</font></td><td class="xl30" width="72" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; width: 54pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid"><font face="Georgia">79.19%</font></td><td class="xl31" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">81%</font></td><td class="xl32" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">76.78%</font></td><td class="xl33" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid"><font face="Georgia">-4.22%</font></td></tr><tr height="22" style="height: 16.5pt"><td class="xl41" height="22" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext 0.5pt solid; background-color: transparent; height: 16.5pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="新細明體">新北市</font></td><td class="xl29" width="72" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; width: 54pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">81.31%</font></td><td class="xl30" width="72" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; width: 54pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid"><font face="Georgia">78.08%</font></td><td class="xl31" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">80%</font></td><td class="xl32" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">75.90%</font></td><td class="xl33" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid"><font face="Georgia">-4.10%</font></td></tr><tr height="22" style="height: 16.5pt"><td class="xl41" height="22" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext 0.5pt solid; background-color: transparent; height: 16.5pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="新細明體">台中市</font></td><td class="xl34" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">81.20%</font></td><td class="xl35" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid"><font face="Georgia">76.99%</font></td><td class="xl31" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">79%</font></td><td class="xl32" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">75.76%</font></td><td class="xl33" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid"><font face="Georgia">-3.24%</font></td></tr><tr height="22" style="height: 16.5pt"><td class="xl41" height="22" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext 0.5pt solid; background-color: transparent; height: 16.5pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="新細明體">台南市</font></td><td class="xl34" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">81.06%</font></td><td class="xl35" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid"><font face="Georgia">75.43%</font></td><td class="xl31" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">81%</font></td><td class="xl32" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">74.18%</font></td><td class="xl33" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid"><font face="Georgia">-6.82%</font></td></tr><tr height="22" style="height: 16.5pt"><td class="xl41" height="22" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext 0.5pt solid; background-color: transparent; height: 16.5pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="新細明體">高雄市</font></td><td class="xl34" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">81.69%</font></td><td class="xl36" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid"><font face="Georgia">77.93</font></td><td class="xl31" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">80%</font></td><td class="xl32" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">75.91%</font></td><td class="xl33" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid"><font face="Georgia">-4.09%</font></td></tr><tr height="22" style="height: 16.5pt"><td class="xl41" height="22" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext 0.5pt solid; background-color: transparent; height: 16.5pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="新細明體">桃園縣</font></td><td class="xl29" width="72" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; width: 54pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">81.33%</font></td><td class="xl30" width="72" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; width: 54pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid"><font face="Georgia">77.58%</font></td><td class="xl31" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">79%</font></td><td class="xl32" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">74.69%</font></td><td class="xl33" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid"><font face="Georgia">-4.31%</font></td></tr><tr height="22" style="height: 16.5pt"><td class="xl41" height="22" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext 0.5pt solid; background-color: transparent; height: 16.5pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="新細明體">新竹縣</font></td><td class="xl29" width="72" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; width: 54pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">81.80%</font></td><td class="xl30" width="72" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; width: 54pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid"><font face="Georgia">79.33%</font></td><td class="xl31" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">80%</font></td><td class="xl32" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">76.07%</font></td><td class="xl33" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid"><font face="Georgia">-3.93%</font></td></tr><tr height="22" style="height: 16.5pt"><td class="xl41" height="22" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext 0.5pt solid; background-color: transparent; height: 16.5pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="新細明體">苗栗縣</font></td><td class="xl29" width="72" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; width: 54pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">79.82%</font></td><td class="xl30" width="72" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; width: 54pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid"><font face="Georgia">76.83%</font></td><td class="xl31" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">78%</font></td><td class="xl32" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">74.63%</font></td><td class="xl33" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid"><font face="Georgia">-3.37%</font></td></tr><tr height="22" style="height: 16.5pt"><td class="xl41" height="22" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext 0.5pt solid; background-color: transparent; height: 16.5pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="新細明體">彰化縣</font></td><td class="xl29" width="72" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; width: 54pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">80.18%</font></td><td class="xl30" width="72" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; width: 54pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid"><font face="Georgia">75.05%</font></td><td class="xl31" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">79%</font></td><td class="xl32" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">73.46%</font></td><td class="xl33" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid"><font face="Georgia">-5.54%</font></td></tr><tr height="22" style="height: 16.5pt"><td class="xl41" height="22" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext 0.5pt solid; background-color: transparent; height: 16.5pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="新細明體">南投縣</font></td><td class="xl29" width="72" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; width: 54pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">77.97%</font></td><td class="xl30" width="72" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; width: 54pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid"><font face="Georgia">72.12%</font></td><td class="xl31" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">76%</font></td><td class="xl32" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">71.13%</font></td><td class="xl33" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid"><font face="Georgia">-4.87%</font></td></tr><tr height="22" style="height: 16.5pt"><td class="xl41" height="22" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext 0.5pt solid; background-color: transparent; height: 16.5pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="新細明體">雲林縣</font></td><td class="xl29" width="72" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; width: 54pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">75.94%</font></td><td class="xl30" width="72" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; width: 54pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid"><font face="Georgia">70.06%</font></td><td class="xl31" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">75%</font></td><td class="xl32" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">68.92%</font></td><td class="xl33" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid"><font face="Georgia">-6.08%</font></td></tr><tr height="22" style="height: 16.5pt"><td class="xl41" height="22" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext 0.5pt solid; background-color: transparent; height: 16.5pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="新細明體">嘉義縣</font></td><td class="xl29" width="72" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; width: 54pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">78.03%</font></td><td class="xl30" width="72" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; width: 54pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid"><font face="Georgia">72.32%</font></td><td class="xl31" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">77%</font></td><td class="xl32" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">72.48%</font></td><td class="xl33" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid"><font face="Georgia">-4.52%</font></td></tr><tr height="22" style="height: 16.5pt"><td class="xl41" height="22" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext 0.5pt solid; background-color: transparent; height: 16.5pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="新細明體">屏東縣</font></td><td class="xl29" width="72" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; width: 54pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">78.92%</font></td><td class="xl30" width="72" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; width: 54pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid"><font face="Georgia">73.75%</font></td><td class="xl31" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">77%</font></td><td class="xl32" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">72.67%</font></td><td class="xl33" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid"><font face="Georgia">-4.33%</font></td></tr><tr height="22" style="height: 16.5pt"><td class="xl41" height="22" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext 0.5pt solid; background-color: transparent; height: 16.5pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="新細明體">台東縣</font></td><td class="xl29" width="72" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; width: 54pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">66.45%</font></td><td class="xl30" width="72" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; width: 54pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid"><font face="Georgia">63.18%</font></td><td class="xl31" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">65%</font></td><td class="xl32" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">61.79%</font></td><td class="xl33" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid"><font face="Georgia">-3.21%</font></td></tr><tr height="22" style="height: 16.5pt"><td class="xl41" height="22" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext 0.5pt solid; background-color: transparent; height: 16.5pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="新細明體">花蓮縣</font></td><td class="xl29" width="72" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; width: 54pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">70.98%</font></td><td class="xl30" width="72" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; width: 54pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid"><font face="Georgia">68.85%</font></td><td class="xl31" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">70%</font></td><td class="xl32" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">64.64%</font></td><td class="xl33" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid"><font face="Georgia">-5.36%</font></td></tr><tr height="22" style="height: 16.5pt"><td class="xl41" height="22" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext 0.5pt solid; background-color: transparent; height: 16.5pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="新細明體">宜蘭縣</font></td><td class="xl29" width="72" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; width: 54pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">78.46%</font></td><td class="xl30" width="72" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; width: 54pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid"><font face="Georgia">73.98%</font></td><td class="xl31" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">77%</font></td><td class="xl32" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">72.54%</font></td><td class="xl33" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid"><font face="Georgia">-4.46%</font></td></tr><tr height="22" style="height: 16.5pt"><td class="xl41" height="22" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext 0.5pt solid; background-color: transparent; height: 16.5pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="新細明體">澎湖縣</font></td><td class="xl29" width="72" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; width: 54pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">66.16%</font></td><td class="xl30" width="72" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; width: 54pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid"><font face="Georgia">60.39%</font></td><td class="xl31" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">63%</font></td><td class="xl32" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">59.01%</font></td><td class="xl33" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid"><font face="Georgia">-3.99%</font></td></tr><tr height="22" style="height: 16.5pt"><td class="xl41" height="22" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext 0.5pt solid; background-color: transparent; height: 16.5pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="新細明體">基隆市</font></td><td class="xl29" width="72" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; width: 54pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">78.35%</font></td><td class="xl30" width="72" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; width: 54pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid"><font face="Georgia">76.09%</font></td><td class="xl31" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">77%</font></td><td class="xl32" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">72.09%</font></td><td class="xl33" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid"><font face="Georgia">-4.91%</font></td></tr><tr height="22" style="height: 16.5pt"><td class="xl41" height="22" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext 0.5pt solid; background-color: transparent; height: 16.5pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="新細明體">新竹市</font></td><td class="xl29" width="72" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; width: 54pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">81.22%</font></td><td class="xl30" width="72" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; width: 54pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid"><font face="Georgia">78.52%</font></td><td class="xl31" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">80%</font></td><td class="xl32" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">75.68%</font></td><td class="xl33" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid"><font face="Georgia">-4.32%</font></td></tr><tr height="22" style="height: 16.5pt"><td class="xl41" height="22" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext 0.5pt solid; background-color: transparent; height: 16.5pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="新細明體">嘉義市</font></td><td class="xl29" width="72" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; width: 54pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">80.53%</font></td><td class="xl30" width="72" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; width: 54pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid"><font face="Georgia">76.34%</font></td><td class="xl31" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">79%</font></td><td class="xl32" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">73.53%</font></td><td class="xl33" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid"><font face="Georgia">-5.47%</font></td></tr><tr height="22" style="height: 16.5pt"><td class="xl41" height="22" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext 0.5pt solid; background-color: transparent; height: 16.5pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="新細明體">金門縣</font></td><td class="xl29" width="72" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; width: 54pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">64.39%</font></td><td class="xl30" width="72" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; width: 54pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid"><font face="Georgia">53.78%</font></td><td class="xl31" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">61%</font></td><td class="xl32" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">46.67%</font></td><td class="xl33" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid"><font face="Georgia">-14.33%</font></td></tr><tr height="22" style="height: 16.5pt"><td class="xl41" height="22" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext 0.5pt solid; background-color: transparent; height: 16.5pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="新細明體">連江縣</font></td><td class="xl29" width="72" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; width: 54pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">65.66%</font></td><td class="xl30" width="72" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; width: 54pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid"><font face="Georgia">58.12%</font></td><td class="xl31" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">62%</font></td><td class="xl32" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">65.79%</font></td><td class="xl33" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid"><font face="Georgia">3.79%</font></td></tr><tr height="23" style="height: 17.25pt"><td class="xl41" height="23" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext 0.5pt solid; background-color: transparent; height: 17.25pt; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="新細明體">總數</font></td><td class="xl34" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">80.28%</font></td><td class="xl35" style="border-bottom: windowtext 0.5pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid"><font face="Georgia">76.33%</font></td><td class="xl37" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">79%</font></td><td class="xl38" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 0.5pt solid"><font face="Georgia">74.38%</font></td><td class="xl39" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: windowtext; background-color: transparent; border-top: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid"><font face="Georgia">-4.52%</font></td></tr></tbody></table>
	]]>
</content>
</entry> 
 <entry> 
 <title>選前估票</title> 
 <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18738991.html" /> 
 <modified>2012-01-15T12:45:51+08:00</modified> 
 <issued>2012-01-15T12:45:51+08:00</issued> 
 <id>tag:blog.roodo.com,2012://50985.18738991</id> 
 <created>2012-01-11T00:37:07+08:00</created> 
  <author>
 <name></name> 
 <url>http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/</url> 
 
</author> 
<dc:subject>政治評論</dc:subject> 
<summary type="text/html" mode="escaped">
<![CDATA[
中選會表示，自行預估得票數與得票率非屬總統副總統選罷法第52條第2項所定之「民意調查資料」。
]]>
</summary> 
<content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="zh-tw" xml:base="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18738991.html">
<![CDATA[
	中選會<a href="http://web.cec.gov.tw/files/15-1000-17647,c3369-1.php"target="_blank">表示</a>，自行預估得票數與得票率非屬總統副總統選罷法第52條第2項所定之「民意調查資料」。

	<a href="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18738991.html">(繼續閱讀...)</a>]]>
</content>
</entry> 
 <entry> 
 <title>民進黨的利基！</title> 
 <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18671621.html" /> 
 <modified>2012-01-06T08:45:42+08:00</modified> 
 <issued>2012-01-06T08:45:42+08:00</issued> 
 <id>tag:blog.roodo.com,2012://50985.18671621</id> 
 <created>2012-01-06T00:59:01+08:00</created> 
  <author>
 <name></name> 
 <url>http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/</url> 
 
</author> 
<dc:subject>政治評論</dc:subject> 
<summary type="text/html" mode="escaped">
<![CDATA[
我是學統計出身的，看選舉，如何從數字發現蛛絲馬跡也是大有門道。

以民進黨在2008年總統選舉的慘敗來看，只要比較一下2004年、2008年的投票率就會發現，投票率降幅最大的前幾名，幾乎是民進黨大票倉。扣除票數不多、整體投票率本低的離島縣，以投票率降幅與2004年的得票率去做相關係數分析，結果竟然是高度正相關（0.80）。

這意味著什麼？愈是支持民進黨的選民，在2008年選擇不投票的愈多；愈是深藍的選區，投票率的改變並不大。所以蔡英文有無能力讓這些在2008年不去投票的失望選民（或是自知沒機會而索性不投）再看到希望，就有機會找回失落的一百萬票。

地區別04投票率08投票率差距04得票率金門縣64.39%53.78%10.61%6.05%連江縣65.66%58.12%7.54%5.76%臺南縣81.15%74.54%6.61%64.79%雲林縣75.94%70.06%5.88%60.32%南投縣77.97%72.12%5.85%48.75%澎湖縣66.16%60.39%5.77%49.47%嘉義縣78.03%72.32%5.71%62.79%屏東縣78.92%73.75%5.17%58.11%彰化縣80.18%75.05%5.13%52.26%臺中縣81.41%76.47%4.94%51.79%高雄縣81.56%76.88%4.68%58.40%宜蘭縣78.46%73.98%4.48%57.71%嘉義市80.53%76.34%4.19%56.06%臺南市80.93%76.74%4.19%57.77%桃園縣81.33%77.58%3.75%44.68%臺東縣66.45%63.18%3.27%34.48%臺北縣81.31%78.08%3.23%46.94%臺中市80.89%77.74%3.15%47.34%高雄市81.81%78.79%3.02%55.65%苗栗縣79.82%76.83%2.99%39.25%新竹市81.22%78.52%2.70%44.88%臺北市81.71%79.19%2.52%43.47%新竹縣81.80%79.33%2.47%35.94%基隆市78.35%76.09%2.26%40.56%花蓮縣70.98%68.85%2.13%29.80%]]>
</summary> 
<content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="zh-tw" xml:base="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18671621.html">
<![CDATA[
	我是學統計出身的，看選舉，如何從數字發現蛛絲馬跡也是大有門道。

以民進黨在2008年總統選舉的慘敗來看，只要比較一下2004年、2008年的投票率就會發現，投票率降幅最大的前幾名，幾乎是民進黨大票倉。扣除票數不多、整體投票率本低的離島縣，以投票率降幅與2004年的得票率去做相關係數分析，結果竟然是高度正相關（0.80）。

這意味著什麼？愈是支持民進黨的選民，在2008年選擇不投票的愈多；愈是深藍的選區，投票率的改變並不大。所以蔡英文有無能力讓這些在2008年不去投票的失望選民（或是自知沒機會而索性不投）再看到希望，就有機會找回失落的一百萬票。

<table border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="348" class="MsoNormalTable" style="margin: auto auto auto 0.65pt; width: 261pt; border-collapse: collapse"><tbody><tr style="height: 16.5pt"><td width="60" style="padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 45pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; padding-top: 0cm; border: windowtext 1pt solid"><span style="font-family: 新細明體">地區別<span></span></span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: windowtext 1pt solid; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">04</span><span style="font-family: 細明體">投票率</span><span style="font-family: Georgia"></span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: windowtext 1pt solid; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">08</span><span style="font-family: 細明體">投票率</span><span style="font-family: Georgia"></span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: windowtext 1pt solid; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體">差距<span></span></span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: windowtext 1pt solid; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">04</span><span style="font-family: 細明體">得票率</span><span style="font-family: Georgia"></span></td></tr><tr style="height: 16.5pt"><td width="60" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 45pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體">金門縣<span></span></span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">64.39%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">53.78%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">10.61%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">6.05%</span></td></tr><tr style="height: 16.5pt"><td width="60" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 45pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體">連江縣<span></span></span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">65.66%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">58.12%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">7.54%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">5.76%</span></td></tr><tr style="height: 16.5pt"><td width="60" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 45pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體; color: red">臺南縣<span></span></span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia; color: red">81.15%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia; color: red">74.54%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia; color: red">6.61%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia; color: red">64.79%</span></td></tr><tr style="height: 16.5pt"><td width="60" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 45pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體; color: red">雲林縣<span></span></span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia; color: red">75.94%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia; color: red">70.06%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia; color: red">5.88%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia; color: red">60.32%</span></td></tr><tr style="height: 16.5pt"><td width="60" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 45pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體">南投縣<span></span></span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">77.97%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">72.12%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">5.85%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">48.75%</span></td></tr><tr style="height: 16.5pt"><td width="60" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 45pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體">澎湖縣<span></span></span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">66.16%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">60.39%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">5.77%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">49.47%</span></td></tr><tr style="height: 16.5pt"><td width="60" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 45pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體; color: red">嘉義縣<span></span></span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia; color: red">78.03%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia; color: red">72.32%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia; color: red">5.71%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia; color: red">62.79%</span></td></tr><tr style="height: 16.5pt"><td width="60" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 45pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體; color: red">屏東縣<span></span></span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia; color: red">78.92%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia; color: red">73.75%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia; color: red">5.17%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia; color: red">58.11%</span></td></tr><tr style="height: 16.5pt"><td width="60" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 45pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體">彰化縣<span></span></span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">80.18%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">75.05%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">5.13%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">52.26%</span></td></tr><tr style="height: 16.5pt"><td width="60" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 45pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體">臺中縣<span></span></span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">81.41%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">76.47%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">4.94%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">51.79%</span></td></tr><tr style="height: 16.5pt"><td width="60" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 45pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體; color: red">高雄縣<span></span></span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia; color: red">81.56%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia; color: red">76.88%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia; color: red">4.68%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia; color: red">58.40%</span></td></tr><tr style="height: 16.5pt"><td width="60" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 45pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體; color: red">宜蘭縣<span></span></span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia; color: red">78.46%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia; color: red">73.98%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia; color: red">4.48%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia; color: red">57.71%</span></td></tr><tr style="height: 16.5pt"><td width="60" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 45pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體; color: red">嘉義市<span></span></span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia; color: red">80.53%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia; color: red">76.34%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia; color: red">4.19%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia; color: red">56.06%</span></td></tr><tr style="height: 16.5pt"><td width="60" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 45pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體; color: red">臺南市<span></span></span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia; color: red">80.93%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia; color: red">76.74%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia; color: red">4.19%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia; color: red">57.77%</span></td></tr><tr style="height: 16.5pt"><td width="60" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 45pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體">桃園縣<span></span></span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">81.33%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">77.58%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">3.75%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">44.68%</span></td></tr><tr style="height: 16.5pt"><td width="60" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 45pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體">臺東縣<span></span></span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">66.45%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">63.18%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">3.27%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">34.48%</span></td></tr><tr style="height: 16.5pt"><td width="60" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 45pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體">臺北縣<span></span></span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">81.31%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">78.08%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">3.23%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">46.94%</span></td></tr><tr style="height: 16.5pt"><td width="60" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 45pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體">臺中市<span></span></span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">80.89%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">77.74%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">3.15%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">47.34%</span></td></tr><tr style="height: 16.5pt"><td width="60" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 45pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體">高雄市<span></span></span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">81.81%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">78.79%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">3.02%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">55.65%</span></td></tr><tr style="height: 16.5pt"><td width="60" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 45pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體">苗栗縣<span></span></span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">79.82%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">76.83%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">2.99%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">39.25%</span></td></tr><tr style="height: 16.5pt"><td width="60" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 45pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體">新竹市<span></span></span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">81.22%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">78.52%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">2.70%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">44.88%</span></td></tr><tr style="height: 16.5pt"><td width="60" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 45pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體">臺北市<span></span></span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">81.71%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">79.19%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">2.52%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">43.47%</span></td></tr><tr style="height: 16.5pt"><td width="60" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 45pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體">新竹縣<span></span></span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">81.80%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">79.33%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">2.47%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">35.94%</span></td></tr><tr style="height: 16.5pt"><td width="60" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 45pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體">基隆市<span></span></span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">78.35%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">76.09%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">2.26%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">40.56%</span></td></tr><tr style="height: 16.5pt"><td width="60" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 45pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: 新細明體">花蓮縣<span></span></span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">70.98%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">68.85%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">2.13%</span></td><td width="72" valign="bottom" style="border-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #ece9d8; padding-bottom: 0cm; background-color: transparent; padding-left: 1.4pt; width: 54pt; padding-right: 1.4pt; height: 16.5pt; border-top: #ece9d8; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid; padding-top: 0cm"><span style="font-family: Georgia">29.80%</span></td></tr></tbody></table>
	]]>
</content>
</entry> 
 <entry> 
 <title>國民黨選前奧步─假民調</title> 
 <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18656269.html" /> 
 <modified>2012-01-03T22:26:31+08:00</modified> 
 <issued>2012-01-03T22:26:31+08:00</issued> 
 <id>tag:blog.roodo.com,2012://50985.18656269</id> 
 <created>2012-01-03T20:54:22+08:00</created> 
  <author>
 <name></name> 
 <url>http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/</url> 
 
</author> 
<dc:subject>我「愛」馬英九</dc:subject> 
<summary type="text/html" mode="escaped">
<![CDATA[
國民黨選前還有一大奧步，假民調。

自從無法公開作票後，操作假民調，就是國民黨選前慣用的奧步。2000年的總統選舉，金溥聰就疑似做假民調，讓大家誤任連戰領先，最後害宋楚瑜高票落選。惱羞成怒的金溥聰還因此狀告謝志偉等人，最後卻敗訴。

比較一下這次選舉跟2008年，最大的差異就是民調多很多。當時有在選前公佈民調的報紙，只有中國時報在2008年3月10日公佈馬49％、謝22％的民調，其他報社或其他媒體做的民調，幾乎沒在選前被廣泛引述。最後的選舉結果是馬58.45%、謝41.55%。雙方在民調上的差距是27%，實際差距卻是17%。

這次就不同了，幾乎天天都有媒體公佈民調。]]>
</summary> 
<content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="zh-tw" xml:base="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18656269.html">
<![CDATA[
	國民黨選前還有一大奧步，假民調。

自從無法公開作票後，操作假民調，就是國民黨選前慣用的奧步。2000年的總統選舉，<a href="http://www.libertytimes.com.tw/2010/new/oct/21/today-p3.htm"target="_blank">金溥聰就疑似做假民調</a>，讓大家誤任連戰領先，最後害宋楚瑜高票落選。惱羞成怒的金溥聰還因此狀告謝志偉等人，最後<a href="http://www.libertytimes.com.tw/2011/new/apr/16/today-p3.htm"target="_blank">卻敗訴</a>。

比較一下這次選舉跟2008年，最大的差異就是民調多很多。當時有在選前公佈民調的報紙，只有中國時報在2008年3月10日公佈馬49％、謝22％的民調，其他報社或其他媒體做的民調，幾乎沒在選前被廣泛引述。最後的選舉結果是馬58.45%、謝41.55%。雙方在民調上的差距是27%，實際差距卻是17%。

這次就不同了，幾乎天天都有媒體公佈民調。
	<a href="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18656269.html">(繼續閱讀...)</a>]]>
</content>
</entry> 
 <entry> 
 <title>國民黨選前奧步─壓縮宋楚瑜</title> 
 <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18645877.html" /> 
 <modified>2012-01-02T22:54:48+08:00</modified> 
 <issued>2012-01-02T22:54:48+08:00</issued> 
 <id>tag:blog.roodo.com,2012://50985.18645877</id> 
 <created>2012-01-02T21:38:35+08:00</created> 
  <author>
 <name></name> 
 <url>http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/</url> 
 
</author> 
<dc:subject>我「愛」馬英九</dc:subject> 
<summary type="text/html" mode="escaped">
<![CDATA[
宋楚瑜的參選，確實給國民黨帶來非常非常大的壓力。

先說個八卦，之前江岷欽在節目上說宋楚瑜會在選前之夜表態，這其實不是空穴來風。確實有一群中國高層派來的說客，日前去拜訪宋楚瑜；他們安排好一套劇本，要陳萬水在選前之夜裝可憐，哭喊「還我宋楚瑜」；宋楚瑜則情緒崩潰地抱起陳萬水說「我們回家」，然後要群眾政黨票投給親民黨。

不過，宋楚瑜不同意這樣的劇本，並未同意演出。

宋楚瑜如何才能發揮他的影響力？只有蔡英文勝選總統，挾勝選氣勢把民進黨立委帶上五十二、三席左右；宋楚瑜自己也搶下一成選票，帶動親民黨政黨票一舉突破5%，讓親民黨可獲三、四席不分區立委以及二、三席區域立委；營造出三黨不過半的態勢，那就是宋楚瑜的機會。

宋楚瑜一旦退選，或拿不到5%的總統票，整個親民黨等於徹底潰敗、消失，他有可能同意嗎？]]>
</summary> 
<content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="zh-tw" xml:base="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18645877.html">
<![CDATA[
	宋楚瑜的參選，確實給國民黨帶來非常非常大的壓力。

先說個八卦，之前江岷欽在節目上說宋楚瑜會在選前之夜表態，這其實不是空穴來風。確實有一群中國高層派來的說客，日前去拜訪宋楚瑜；他們安排好一套劇本，要陳萬水在選前之夜裝可憐，哭喊「還我宋楚瑜」；宋楚瑜則情緒崩潰地抱起陳萬水說「我們回家」，然後要群眾政黨票投給親民黨。

不過，宋楚瑜不同意這樣的劇本，並未同意演出。

宋楚瑜如何才能發揮他的影響力？只有蔡英文勝選總統，挾勝選氣勢把民進黨立委帶上五十二、三席左右；宋楚瑜自己也搶下一成選票，帶動親民黨政黨票一舉突破5%，讓親民黨可獲三、四席不分區立委以及二、三席區域立委；營造出三黨不過半的態勢，那就是宋楚瑜的機會。

宋楚瑜一旦退選，或拿不到5%的總統票，整個親民黨等於徹底潰敗、消失，他有可能同意嗎？
	<a href="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18645877.html">(繼續閱讀...)</a>]]>
</content>
</entry> 
 <entry> 
 <title>從黃國樑、繆宇綸看深藍支持者的偏差心態</title> 
 <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18635895.html" /> 
 <modified>2011-12-31T07:59:57+08:00</modified> 
 <issued>2011-12-31T07:59:57+08:00</issued> 
 <id>tag:blog.roodo.com,2011://50985.18635895</id> 
 <created>2011-12-30T23:41:35+08:00</created> 
  <author>
 <name></name> 
 <url>http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/</url> 
 
</author> 
<dc:subject>體檢媒體</dc:subject> 
<summary type="text/html" mode="escaped">
<![CDATA[
很多人都會好奇，為什麼所謂的統媒會如此堅不可摧？無論時代如何演變、民主多開放，他們還是堅守戒嚴時期的那套，完全無法接受由台灣人來決定台灣的命運。

其實只要看看兩位深藍記者，聯合晚報黃國樑、中廣繆宇綸的發言就可以了解了。

寫過非常多經典拍馬、肉麻、噁心特稿的黃國樑，最近因一位中時同業批判媒體毫無節制地當國民黨的犬馬、大拍國民黨的馬屁，這位向來拍馬屁不落人後的黃國樑馬上反駁說：

他在十五年前也是反對國民黨的，但現在還反對國民黨的，簡直是在打落水狗；該反對的，是台灣民族主義（民粹）。

這就點明這些深藍文化人（絕大多數是外省人，此人不是，就像新黨也有李勝峰一樣）的心態為何。他們當然會反對國民黨，但那是要在國民黨（外省權貴）仍然可以徹底壟斷台灣前途的前提下。只要台灣人的力量足以決定台灣前途，讓他們不再享有壟斷的支配權時，他們就會全力捍衛國民黨。

所以任何質疑國民黨、反對國民黨的，在他們看來就是打落水狗。話說回來，大家有看過哪隻落水狗每年光股利收入就高達二十九億元？]]>
</summary> 
<content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="zh-tw" xml:base="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18635895.html">
<![CDATA[
	很多人都會好奇，為什麼所謂的統媒會如此堅不可摧？無論時代如何演變、民主多開放，他們還是堅守戒嚴時期的那套，完全無法接受由台灣人來決定台灣的命運。

其實只要看看兩位深藍記者，聯合晚報黃國樑、中廣繆宇綸的發言就可以了解了。

寫過非常多經典拍馬、肉麻、噁心特稿的<a href="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/17759213.html"target="_blank">黃國樑</a>，最近因一位中時同業批判媒體毫無節制地當國民黨的犬馬、大拍國民黨的馬屁，這位向來拍馬屁不落人後的黃國樑馬上反駁說：
<div class="pict"><img src="http://photo.roodo.com/photos/1971157_6wkq8wh_l.png"width="369" height="126"  border="0" class="pict" align="center"></div>
他在十五年前也是反對國民黨的，但現在還反對國民黨的，簡直是在打落水狗；該反對的，是台灣民族主義（民粹）。

這就點明這些深藍文化人（絕大多數是外省人，此人不是，就像新黨也有李勝峰一樣）的心態為何。他們當然會反對國民黨，但那是要在國民黨（外省權貴）仍然可以徹底壟斷台灣前途的前提下。只要台灣人的力量足以決定台灣前途，讓他們不再享有壟斷的支配權時，他們就會全力捍衛國民黨。

所以任何質疑國民黨、反對國民黨的，在他們看來就是打落水狗。話說回來，大家有看過哪隻落水狗每年光股利收入就高達二十九億元？
	<a href="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18635895.html">(繼續閱讀...)</a>]]>
</content>
</entry> 
 <entry> 
 <title>馬英九吃掉到餐桌上的餛飩 比國安會監控異議者重要</title> 
 <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18625837.html" /> 
 <modified>2011-12-29T12:45:47+08:00</modified> 
 <issued>2011-12-29T12:45:47+08:00</issued> 
 <id>tag:blog.roodo.com,2011://50985.18625837</id> 
 <created>2011-12-29T12:26:31+08:00</created> 
  <author>
 <name></name> 
 <url>http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/</url> 
 
</author> 
<dc:subject>體檢媒體</dc:subject> 
<summary type="text/html" mode="escaped">
<![CDATA[
國安會直接指揮調查局，替馬英九情蒐蔡英文。這是何其嚴重的事？自由時報用了頭版頭加上整整第二版譴責此事。

但中國時報、聯合報卻是很努力地淡化此事。

中國時報用第六版下面三分之一的篇幅，以三則新聞報導此事。這已經很誇張了，沒想到還有更誇張的聯合報。

聯合報只用第十四版下面的小小角落報導此事，甚至連馬英九把掉到餐桌上的餛飩夾起來吃，還可以讓聯合報放在同版面的醒目位置，用粗紅框加以大肆頌揚。

這是什麼意思？難道聯合報是想告訴大家，他們早就習慣當國民黨走狗，都當了四、五十年了，所以他們不認為國安會替總統情蒐在野黨有任何錯誤？反而是尊貴的馬英九會把掉到餐桌上的餛飩夾起來吃，是對台灣人的莫大恩惠與尊重，所以值得大書特書？

這真是一家丟臉、無恥、喪盡天良的爛報社。]]>
</summary> 
<content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="zh-tw" xml:base="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18625837.html">
<![CDATA[
	國安會直接指揮調查局，替馬英九情蒐蔡英文。這是何其嚴重的事？自由時報用了頭版頭加上整整第二版譴責此事。

但中國時報、聯合報卻是很努力地淡化此事。

中國時報用第六版下面三分之一的篇幅，以三則新聞報導此事。這已經很誇張了，沒想到還有更誇張的聯合報。
<div class="pict"><img src="http://photo.roodo.com/photos/1971903_w0hvqlo_l.jpg"width="395" height="655"  border="0" class="pict" align="center"></div>
聯合報只用第十四版下面的小小角落報導此事，甚至連馬英九把<a href="http://www.google.com.tw/#hl=zh-TW&site=&q=%22%E9%A4%9B%E9%A3%A9%E6%8E%89%E9%A4%90%E6%A1%8C+%E9%A6%AC%E4%BB%8D%E5%A4%BE%E8%B5%B7%E4%BE%86%E5%90%83%22&oq=%22%E9%A4%9B%E9%A3%A9%E6%8E%89%E9%A4%90%E6%A1%8C+%E9%A6%AC%E4%BB%8D%E5%A4%BE%E8%B5%B7%E4%BE%86%E5%90%83%22&aq=f&aqi=&aql=&gs_sm=e&gs_upl=64563l65578l0l66047l3l3l0l0l0l0l203l390l1.1.1l3l0&bav=on.2,or.r_gc.r_pw.,cf.osb&fp=462cc06e2ac84f4&biw=1280&bih=630"target="_blank">掉到餐桌上的餛飩夾起來吃</a>，還可以讓聯合報放在同版面的醒目位置，用粗紅框加以大肆頌揚。

這是什麼意思？難道聯合報是想告訴大家，他們早就習慣當國民黨走狗，都當了四、五十年了，所以他們不認為國安會替總統情蒐在野黨有任何錯誤？反而是尊貴的馬英九會把掉到餐桌上的餛飩夾起來吃，是對台灣人的莫大恩惠與尊重，所以值得大書特書？

這真是一家丟臉、無恥、喪盡天良的爛報社。
	]]>
</content>
</entry> 
 <entry> 
 <title>敗類犬子 走狗胡為真</title> 
 <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18623037.html" /> 
 <modified>2011-12-29T00:15:47+08:00</modified> 
 <issued>2011-12-29T00:15:47+08:00</issued> 
 <id>tag:blog.roodo.com,2011://50985.18623037</id> 
 <created>2011-12-28T19:29:54+08:00</created> 
  <author>
 <name></name> 
 <url>http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/</url> 
 
</author> 
<dc:subject>我「愛」馬英九</dc:subject> 
<summary type="text/html" mode="escaped">
<![CDATA[
家庭教育是一個人人格形成最重要的部分，影響力遠高於學校教育、社會教育。什麼「歹竹出好筍」那只是特例，「有其父必有其子」才是普遍現象。

要知道馬英九的政治走狗胡為真為何會膽大妄為至此，竟敢在民主時代大開戒嚴回頭路，重把國安會當特務頭子，直接指揮調查局去監視異議者？簡單說，就是家教徹底失敗，有胡宗南這種敗類老爸，教養出來的兒子當然也是雞鳴狗盜之徒。

胡宗南是黃埔一期生，是幫蔣介石搞特務出身的，曾參與藍衣社、復興社；號稱十三太保之首（其他十二人分別是：戴笠、賀衷寒、酆悌、康澤、鄭介民、鄧文儀、蕭贊育、曾擴情、杜心如、滕傑、潘佑強、桂永清），光聽這稱號與經歷，就知道這人絕非善類。

戰後，胡宗南奉命率領四十萬大軍進駐陜西，負責監視共產黨。不過搞特務出身的胡宗南，身邊的副官熊向暉竟是共諜，所以他的任何行動早遭共軍所掌握。1947年3月，胡宗南奉命進軍延安，但共軍早就逃離延安了。為了宣傳戰功，胡宗南竟然安排自己手下假扮共俘，因而讓自己升為上將。

接下來幾場戰役，節節敗於共軍，徹底暴露胡宗南的無能。數十萬大軍一路敗逃，到西康省西昌市時，近於全軍覆沒。不過蔣介石突然善心大發，派了一架飛機接回胡宗南。監察院當時還對胡宗南提出彈劾，但蔣介石力挺他到底，讓胡宗南得以在台灣安享晚年。

有這種失敗、無恥、不要臉的爸爸，能教育出什麼出色的兒女？]]>
</summary> 
<content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="zh-tw" xml:base="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18623037.html">
<![CDATA[
	家庭教育是一個人人格形成最重要的部分，影響力遠高於學校教育、社會教育。什麼「歹竹出好筍」那只是特例，「有其父必有其子」才是普遍現象。

要知道馬英九的政治走狗胡為真為何會膽大妄為至此，竟敢在民主時代大開戒嚴回頭路，重把國安會當特務頭子，直接指揮調查局去監視異議者？簡單說，就是家教徹底失敗，有胡宗南這種敗類老爸，教養出來的兒子當然也是雞鳴狗盜之徒。

胡宗南是黃埔一期生，是幫蔣介石搞特務出身的，曾參與藍衣社、復興社；號稱十三太保之首（其他十二人分別是：戴笠、賀衷寒、酆悌、康澤、鄭介民、鄧文儀、蕭贊育、曾擴情、杜心如、滕傑、潘佑強、桂永清），光聽這稱號與經歷，就知道這人絕非善類。

戰後，胡宗南奉命率領四十萬大軍進駐陜西，負責監視共產黨。不過搞特務出身的胡宗南，身邊的副官熊向暉竟是共諜，所以他的任何行動早遭共軍所掌握。1947年3月，胡宗南奉命進軍延安，但共軍早就逃離延安了。為了宣傳戰功，胡宗南竟然安排自己手下假扮共俘，因而讓自己升為上將。

接下來幾場戰役，節節敗於共軍，徹底暴露胡宗南的無能。數十萬大軍一路敗逃，到西康省西昌市時，近於全軍覆沒。不過蔣介石突然善心大發，派了一架飛機接回胡宗南。監察院當時還對胡宗南提出彈劾，但蔣介石力挺他到底，讓胡宗南得以在台灣安享晚年。

有這種失敗、無恥、不要臉的爸爸，能教育出什麼出色的兒女？
	<a href="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18623037.html">(繼續閱讀...)</a>]]>
</content>
</entry> 
 <entry> 
 <title>自甘打手 朱言貴忝為人師</title> 
 <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18618607.html" /> 
 <modified>2011-12-28T09:40:34+08:00</modified> 
 <issued>2011-12-28T09:40:34+08:00</issued> 
 <id>tag:blog.roodo.com,2011://50985.18618607</id> 
 <created>2011-12-28T09:24:25+08:00</created> 
  <author>
 <name></name> 
 <url>http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/</url> 
 
</author> 
<dc:subject>我「愛」馬英九</dc:subject> 
<summary type="text/html" mode="escaped">
<![CDATA[
有位常在報社投稿且自稱是空大法律課程教師的朱言貴，今天在中國時報登了「文宣造假 政黨信譽掃地」一文，將國民黨的惡意栽贓，再進一步加工抹黑，惡質無比，這樣徹底卑劣、無恥的人格、行徑，朱言貴您好意思自稱是教師嗎？

就算朱言貴沒看過劉大姊的澄清，至少也應該對照民進黨的說法吧！民進黨是合法向圖庫公司購買圖片，這哪裡有「刻意地造假侵權」的問題？這位自稱是法律課程教師的朱言貴，是不是該重回法律系，好好把法律學好？不要老頂著法律教師的名號，到處誤人子弟。

更何況，從馬辦新聞稿所附的照片很也清楚呈現，民進黨購買此張照片所做的是客家文宣，跟水果月曆完全無關；怎麼會有朱文所言「民進黨未經劉珍珠的同意，貿然使用其照片，當成水果月曆文宣的主軸」？

稍微改一下朱文的最後一段回贈朱言貴，其實也是非常適用地。

似此為了當國民黨打手，不惜撰文扭曲事實，不啻貶低了朱言貴的教師形象，形同欺騙廣大的社會大眾。一個號稱懂法律的教師，卻以犧牲空大、教師的社會形象為代價，並且美其名為「伸張正義」，必然造成反噬，從而得不償失。]]>
</summary> 
<content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="zh-tw" xml:base="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18618607.html">
<![CDATA[
	有位常在報社投稿且自稱是空大法律課程教師的朱言貴，今天在中國時報登了「<a href="http://www.google.com.tw/#hl=zh-TW&site=&q=%22%E6%96%87%E5%AE%A3%E9%80%A0%E5%81%87+%E6%94%BF%E9%BB%A8%E4%BF%A1%E8%AD%BD%E6%8E%83%E5%9C%B0%22&oq=%22%E6%96%87%E5%AE%A3%E9%80%A0%E5%81%87+%E6%94%BF%E9%BB%A8%E4%BF%A1%E8%AD%BD%E6%8E%83%E5%9C%B0%22&aq=f&aqi=&aql=&gs_sm=e&gs_upl=1343l4656l0l5015l3l3l0l1l0l0l94l188l2l2l0&bav=on.2,or.r_gc.r_pw.,cf.osb&fp=462cc06e2ac84f4&biw=1280&bih=630"target="_blank">文宣造假 政黨信譽掃地</a>」一文，將國民黨的惡意栽贓，再進一步加工抹黑，惡質無比，這樣徹底卑劣、無恥的人格、行徑，朱言貴您好意思自稱是教師嗎？

就算朱言貴沒看過<a href="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18612963.html"target="_blank">劉大姊的澄清</a>，至少也應該對照民進黨的說法吧！民進黨是合法向圖庫公司購買圖片，這哪裡有「刻意地造假侵權」的問題？這位自稱是法律課程教師的朱言貴，是不是該重回法律系，好好把法律學好？不要老頂著法律教師的名號，到處誤人子弟。

更何況，從馬辦新聞稿所附的照片很也清楚呈現，民進黨購買此張照片所做的是<a href="http://www.kmtwin.org.tw/index.aspx?type=message&id=219"target="_blank">客家文宣</a>，跟水果月曆完全無關；怎麼會有朱文所言「民進黨未經劉珍珠的同意，貿然使用其照片，當成水果月曆文宣的主軸」？

稍微改一下朱文的最後一段回贈朱言貴，其實也是非常適用地。

似此為了當國民黨打手，不惜撰文扭曲事實，不啻貶低了朱言貴的教師形象，形同欺騙廣大的社會大眾。一個號稱懂法律的教師，卻以犧牲空大、教師的社會形象為代價，並且美其名為「伸張正義」，必然造成反噬，從而得不償失。
	]]>
</content>
</entry> 
 <entry> 
 <title>馬辦李佳霏、朱康震的腳尾飯指控</title> 
 <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18612963.html" /> 
 <modified>2011-12-27T13:07:57+08:00</modified> 
 <issued>2011-12-27T13:07:57+08:00</issued> 
 <id>tag:blog.roodo.com,2011://50985.18612963</id> 
 <created>2011-12-27T12:29:30+08:00</created> 
  <author>
 <name></name> 
 <url>http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/</url> 
 
</author> 
<dc:subject>我「愛」馬英九</dc:subject> 
<summary type="text/html" mode="escaped">
<![CDATA[
馬辦的敗德發言人李佳霏、朱康震，昨日陪同劉珍珠指控民進黨盜用相片，我昨天也說明了，民進黨合法購買圖庫，何錯之有？

沒想到，德不孤必有鄰，劉珍珠的姊姊（Julie Liu）也在臉書上公佈實情（備份圖檔），徹底戳破馬辦的無恥、惡質、沒人性，不惜為了選舉扭曲事實的卑劣嘴臉。

Julie Liu說，因為台灣圖庫影像圖庫網是他們的好朋友，幫了他們很多忙，把他們的免費提供給媒體或雜誌；所以她對圖庫網承諾，他們的照片沒有肖像權的問題。不過民進黨在一開始還是很謹慎地要圖庫網徵求本人的同意。或許是因為這樣子的承諾，圖庫網沒才再次確認！

Julie Liu還說，民進黨一開始就表示很大的誠意，但劉珍珠完全不給人機會。還讓新聞隨意亂報，讓她不得不跳出來說個公道話。

這事件的是非曲直，到現在就很清楚了。到底是誰在做惡意的選舉操作？不就是馬辦、李佳霏、朱康震嗎？你們如此喪盡天良操弄這種惡質的腳尾飯指控，難道不需要出來向社會道歉？還是希望上帝把報復施加到你們子女身上才甘心呢？]]>
</summary> 
<content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="zh-tw" xml:base="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18612963.html">
<![CDATA[
	馬辦的敗德發言人李佳霏、朱康震，昨日陪同劉珍珠指控民進黨盜用相片，我昨天也說明了，<a href="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18609455.html"target="_blank">民進黨合法購買圖庫，何錯之有</a>？

沒想到，德不孤必有鄰，劉珍珠的姊姊（Julie Liu）也<a href="http://www.facebook.com/permalink.php?story_fbid=335737306438189&id=100000057660001"target="_blank">在臉書上公佈實情</a>（<a href="http://ppt.cc/onpX"target="_blank">備份圖檔</a>），徹底戳破馬辦的無恥、惡質、沒人性，不惜為了選舉扭曲事實的卑劣嘴臉。

Julie Liu說，因為台灣圖庫影像圖庫網是他們的好朋友，幫了他們很多忙，把他們的免費提供給媒體或雜誌；所以她對圖庫網承諾，他們的照片沒有肖像權的問題。不過民進黨在一開始還是很謹慎地要圖庫網徵求本人的同意。或許是因為這樣子的承諾，圖庫網沒才再次確認！

Julie Liu還說，民進黨一開始就表示很大的誠意，但劉珍珠完全不給人機會。還讓新聞隨意亂報，讓她不得不跳出來說個公道話。

這事件的是非曲直，到現在就很清楚了。到底是誰在做惡意的選舉操作？不就是馬辦、李佳霏、朱康震嗎？你們如此喪盡天良操弄這種惡質的腳尾飯指控，難道不需要出來向社會道歉？還是希望上帝把報復施加到你們子女身上才甘心呢？
	]]>
</content>
</entry> 
 <entry> 
 <title>購買圖庫也有錯？</title> 
 <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18609455.html" /> 
 <modified>2011-12-26T21:05:52+08:00</modified> 
 <issued>2011-12-26T21:05:52+08:00</issued> 
 <id>tag:blog.roodo.com,2011://50985.18609455</id> 
 <created>2011-12-26T20:49:12+08:00</created> 
  <author>
 <name></name> 
 <url>http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/</url> 
 
</author> 
<dc:subject>我「愛」馬英九</dc:subject> 
<summary type="text/html" mode="escaped">
<![CDATA[
今天有位叫做劉珍珠的客家婦女出來指控蔡英文陣營濫用肖像。

事實上，這張照片是民進黨向圖庫公司買來的，為了確認沒有任何問題，圖庫公司也說會向當事人取得同意。直到12月12日，圖庫公司才告知民進黨，未向當事人取得同意，民進黨立即停發並回收該份文宣。

進一步搜尋，原來這張圖是台灣影像圖庫網的。底下非常清楚寫到：

「image taiwan 台灣影像圖庫網」所有論述、文章著作與攝影圖片之相關「攝影著作權」均屬原作者所有。作者同意全權委託「河馬攝影有限公司」代理其攝影著作之「付費授權使用」， 請勿私下與作者進行任何授權交易 。

既然如此，民進黨透過合法的管道購得圖片使用，有什麼問題？

再者，這位劉二姊在這個圖庫網就有多達近三十張的照片，授權他人購買、使用，也算是專業外拍模特兒了，只是有點資深罷了！難道她不知道自己的照片在合法授權下，有可能用於任何場合？

現在才配合國民黨出來做這種腳尾飯指控，豈不是矯情又噁心？這位劉珍珠還說她不想告民進黨。廢話，人家合法取得使用權，你是要告什麼？

馬英九打選戰打到只剩下這種指鹿為馬的腳尾飯奧步，其選情有多慘烈，實在是不言可喻啊！]]>
</summary> 
<content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="zh-tw" xml:base="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18609455.html">
<![CDATA[
	今天有位叫做劉珍珠的客家婦女出來指控蔡英文陣營濫用肖像。

事實上，這張照片是民進黨向圖庫公司買來的，為了確認沒有任何問題，圖庫公司也說會向當事人取得同意。直到12月12日，圖庫公司才告知民進黨，未向當事人取得同意，民進黨立即停發並回收該份文宣。

進一步搜尋，原來<a href="http://www.imagetaiwan.com.tw/catalog/ImageInfo.asp?IId=am4996&MID=am&Page=1&Rec=5&condition=%B7s%AEH-%B6%C7%B2%CE%A4%E9%C5%CE%ACU%BB%E6&condition2=&condition4G=&condition4=&Name=%B7j%B4M%B1%F8%A5%F3&Sort=%20Case%20When%20updatedate%3Egetdate%28%29-10%20then%20updatedate%20else%20iTotGrade%20end%20desc,%20counts%20desc&chkb=&AID2=&customer=&TClass1=&TClass2="target="_blank">這張圖</a>是<a href="http://www.imagetaiwan.com.tw/"target="_blank">台灣影像圖庫網</a>的。底下非常清楚寫到：

「image taiwan 台灣影像圖庫網」所有論述、文章著作與攝影圖片之相關「攝影著作權」均屬原作者所有。<b>作者同意全權委託「河馬攝影有限公司」代理其攝影著作之「付費授權使用」</b>， 請勿私下與作者進行任何授權交易 。

既然如此，民進黨透過合法的管道購得圖片使用，有什麼問題？

再者，這位劉二姊在這個圖庫網就有<a href="http://www.imagetaiwan.com.tw/index/SearchResult.asp?Page=1&condition=%BCB%A4G%A9n"target="_blank">多達近三十張的照片</a>，授權他人購買、使用，也算是專業外拍模特兒了，只是有點資深罷了！難道她不知道自己的照片在合法授權下，有可能用於任何場合？

現在才配合國民黨出來做這種腳尾飯指控，豈不是矯情又噁心？這位劉珍珠還說她不想告民進黨。廢話，人家合法取得使用權，你是要告什麼？

馬英九打選戰打到只剩下這種指鹿為馬的腳尾飯奧步，其選情有多慘烈，實在是不言可喻啊！
	]]>
</content>
</entry> 
 <entry> 
 <title>聯晚陳志平是在爽什麼？</title> 
 <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18609373.html" /> 
 <modified>2011-12-27T08:21:51+08:00</modified> 
 <issued>2011-12-27T08:21:51+08:00</issued> 
 <id>tag:blog.roodo.com,2011://50985.18609373</id> 
 <created>2011-12-26T20:18:33+08:00</created> 
  <author>
 <name></name> 
 <url>http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/</url> 
 
</author> 
<dc:subject>體檢媒體</dc:subject> 
<summary type="text/html" mode="escaped">
<![CDATA[
繼昨天非常自我感覺良好地寫了一篇可笑報導「藍營：佛教、天主教、基督教可拿6、7成」，認為馬英九跟台灣基督長老教會關係密切後；聯晚陳志平今天又寫了一篇「馬總統訪醫界深綠大老陳永興‎」，幻想陳永興有可能挺馬。真不曉得陳志平到底在爽什麼？

一個像她這樣資深的記者，應該對新聞背景多加了解才對。像‎是陳永興‎，不但擔任過民進黨的國代、立委，還曾名列台聯不分區第一名，這次還有去參加醫界挺蔡英文的後援會，他怎麼可能轉藍？

果然，陳永興馬上就說「我的想法不會被輕易改變，拔樁之說太可笑」，陳志平又狠狠被打一大巴掌。

就像聯合晚報在今年12月4日見獵心喜地率先報導，門諾醫院總執行長黃勝雄挺馬，結果黃勝雄不但在12月18日出席蔡英文的醫屆後援會成立大會，還說他怎可能轉藍？又不是晚節不保！重重賞了聯合晚報一大巴掌。

結果，聯晚還沒學到教訓。陳志平昨天幻想長老教會挺馬英九，結果今天的中國時報馬上打陳志平超響亮的一大巴掌，說長老教會挺綠色彩最明顯。]]>
</summary> 
<content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="zh-tw" xml:base="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18609373.html">
<![CDATA[
	繼昨天非常自我感覺良好地寫了一篇可笑報導「<a href="http://www.google.com.tw/#hl=zh-TW&site=&q=%22%E8%97%8D%E7%87%9F%EF%BC%9A%E4%BD%9B%E6%95%99%E3%80%81%E5%A4%A9%E4%B8%BB%E6%95%99%E3%80%81%E5%9F%BA%E7%9D%A3%E6%95%99%E5%8F%AF%E6%8B%BF6%E3%80%817%E6%88%90%22&oq=%22%E8%97%8D%E7%87%9F%EF%BC%9A%E4%BD%9B%E6%95%99%E3%80%81%E5%A4%A9%E4%B8%BB%E6%95%99%E3%80%81%E5%9F%BA%E7%9D%A3%E6%95%99%E5%8F%AF%E6%8B%BF6%E3%80%817%E6%88%90%22&aq=f&aqi=&aql=&gs_sm=e&gs_upl=27531l28265l0l28562l3l3l0l0l0l0l172l374l1.2l3l0&bav=on.2,or.r_gc.r_pw.,cf.osb&fp=894f3b4d876c7e74&biw=1280&bih=630"target="_blank">藍營：佛教、天主教、基督教可拿6、7成</a>」，認為馬英九跟台灣基督長老教會關係密切後；聯晚陳志平今天又寫了一篇「<a href="http://www.google.com.tw/webhp?hl=zh-TW#hl=zh-TW&site=webhp&q=%22%E9%A6%AC%E7%B8%BD%E7%B5%B1%E8%A8%AA%E9%86%AB%E7%95%8C%E6%B7%B1%E7%B6%A0%E5%A4%A7%E8%80%81%E9%99%B3%E6%B0%B8%E8%88%88%E2%80%8E%22&oq=%22%E9%A6%AC%E7%B8%BD%E7%B5%B1%E8%A8%AA%E9%86%AB%E7%95%8C%E6%B7%B1%E7%B6%A0%E5%A4%A7%E8%80%81%E9%99%B3%E6%B0%B8%E8%88%88%E2%80%8E%22&aq=f&aqi=&aql=&gs_sm=e&gs_upl=10859l13047l0l13469l2l2l0l1l0l0l109l109l0.1l1l0&bav=on.2,or.r_gc.r_pw.,cf.osb&fp=462cc06e2ac84f4&biw=1280&bih=630"target="_blank">馬總統訪醫界深綠大老陳永興‎</a>」，幻想陳永興有可能挺馬。真不曉得陳志平到底在爽什麼？

一個像她這樣資深的記者，應該對新聞背景多加了解才對。像‎是陳永興‎，不但擔任過民進黨的國代、立委，還曾名列台聯不分區第一名，這次還有去參加醫界挺蔡英文的後援會，他怎麼可能轉藍？

<font color=red>果然，陳永興馬上就說「我的<a href="http://www.libertytimes.com.tw/2011/new/dec/27/today-fo3.htm"target="_blank">想法不會被輕易改變</a>，拔樁之說太可笑」，陳志平又狠狠被打一大巴掌。</font>

就像聯合晚報在今年12月4日見獵心喜地率先報導，<a href="http://www.google.com.tw/#hl=zh-TW&q=%22%E9%86%AB%E4%BA%8B%E5%A4%A7%E8%BB%8D+%E5%87%BA%E5%8B%956%E5%8D%83%E4%BA%BA%E6%8C%BA%E9%A6%AC%22&oq=%22%E9%86%AB%E4%BA%8B%E5%A4%A7%E8%BB%8D+%E5%87%BA%E5%8B%956%E5%8D%83%E4%BA%BA%E6%8C%BA%E9%A6%AC%22&aq=f&aqi=&aql=&gs_sm=e&gs_upl=2766l4985l0l5235l2l2l0l1l0l0l78l78l1l1l0&bav=on.2,or.r_gc.r_pw.,cf.osb&fp=462cc06e2ac84f4&biw=1280&bih=630"target="_blank">門諾醫院總執行長黃勝雄挺馬</a>，結果黃勝雄不但在12月18日出席蔡英文的醫屆後援會成立大會，<a href="http://www.libertytimes.com.tw/2011/new/dec/18/today-p5.htm"target="_blank">還說他怎可能轉藍？又不是晚節不保！</a>重重賞了聯合晚報一大巴掌。

結果，聯晚還沒學到教訓。陳志平昨天幻想長老教會挺馬英九，結果今天的中國時報馬上打陳志平超響亮的一大巴掌，<a href="http://www.google.com.tw/#hl=zh-TW&site=&q=%22%E8%97%8D%E7%87%9F%E7%A9%A9%E5%85%AD%E6%88%90%E5%AE%97%E6%95%99%E7%A5%A8+%E7%B6%A0%E7%87%9F%E7%B5%90%E7%B7%A3%E4%B8%80%E8%B2%AB%E9%81%93%22&oq=%22%E8%97%8D%E7%87%9F%E7%A9%A9%E5%85%AD%E6%88%90%E5%AE%97%E6%95%99%E7%A5%A8+%E7%B6%A0%E7%87%9F%E7%B5%90%E7%B7%A3%E4%B8%80%E8%B2%AB%E9%81%93%22&aq=f&aqi=&aql=&gs_sm=e&gs_upl=656l5328l0l5641l3l3l0l1l0l0l188l345l0.2l2l0&bav=on.2,or.r_gc.r_pw.,cf.osb&fp=462cc06e2ac84f4&biw=1280&bih=630"target="_blank">說長老教會挺綠色彩最明顯</a>。
	<a href="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18609373.html">(繼續閱讀...)</a>]]>
</content>
</entry> 
 <entry> 
 <title>高雄三信藉拓展業務強迫員工挺藍 </title> 
 <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18601275.html" /> 
 <modified>2011-12-29T12:26:25+08:00</modified> 
 <issued>2011-12-29T12:26:25+08:00</issued> 
 <id>tag:blog.roodo.com,2011://50985.18601275</id> 
 <created>2011-12-25T20:03:49+08:00</created> 
  <author>
 <name></name> 
 <url>http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/</url> 
 
</author> 
<dc:subject>我「愛」馬英九</dc:subject> 
<summary type="text/html" mode="escaped">
<![CDATA[


我今天寫了一篇獨家報導「高雄三信拓展業務 員工爆簽到挺馬」，但因受限於篇幅，無法把動員公文及完整報導全數刊登。只好藉此進一步公佈相關事實，讓大家看清楚這種這質資本家。

高雄第三信用合作社員工爆料，公司近來以「社區外務活動」為由，強迫所有員工在週休假日出席國民黨的造勢活動，迄今已經三次，而且要求簽到。勞團痛斥，這已嚴重違反就業服務法，高雄市勞工局應介入調查。

三信合作社理事主席林孟丹目前擔任馬吳高雄市後援會總會長。記者昨天致電三信合作社顧客專線，總機表示，她上午剛參加造勢活動，她說：「每個人的看法不同，我認為這種場合有助於拓展業務。」總機說，將代為連絡銀行高層是否回應，但截至晚間均未回電。]]>
</summary> 
<content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="zh-tw" xml:base="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18601275.html">
<![CDATA[
	<div class="pict"><a href="http://photo.roodo.com/photos/1959199_nn9mscu_l.jpg"target="_blank"><img src="http://photo.roodo.com/photos/1959199_nn9mscu_l.jpg"width="400" height="498"  border="0" class="pict" align="center"></a></div>

我今天寫了一篇獨家報導「<a href="http://www.libertytimes.com.tw/2011/new/dec/25/today-fo8.htm"target="_blank">高雄三信拓展業務 員工爆簽到挺馬</a>」，但因受限於篇幅，無法把動員公文及完整報導全數刊登。只好藉此進一步公佈相關事實，讓大家看清楚這種這質資本家。

高雄第三信用合作社員工爆料，公司近來以「社區外務活動」為由，強迫所有員工在週休假日出席國民黨的造勢活動，迄今已經三次，而且要求簽到。勞團痛斥，這已嚴重違反就業服務法，高雄市勞工局應介入調查。

三信合作社理事主席林孟丹目前擔任馬吳高雄市後援會總會長。記者昨天致電三信合作社顧客專線，總機表示，她上午剛參加造勢活動，她說：「每個人的看法不同，我認為這種場合有助於拓展業務。」總機說，將代為連絡銀行高層是否回應，但截至晚間均未回電。
	<a href="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18601275.html">(繼續閱讀...)</a>]]>
</content>
</entry> 
 <entry> 
 <title>聯晚陳志平也文盲、理盲、心盲了？</title> 
 <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18601241.html" /> 
 <modified>2011-12-26T01:26:56+08:00</modified> 
 <issued>2011-12-26T01:26:56+08:00</issued> 
 <id>tag:blog.roodo.com,2011://50985.18601241</id> 
 <created>2011-12-25T19:46:11+08:00</created> 
  <author>
 <name></name> 
 <url>http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/</url> 
 
</author> 
<dc:subject>體檢媒體</dc:subject> 
<summary type="text/html" mode="escaped">
<![CDATA[
聯合晚報最惡質的三位記者之一陳志平（其他二位是高凌雲、黃國樑），今天寫了一篇可笑報導「藍營：佛教、天主教、基督教可拿6、7成」，非常自我感覺良好地認為馬英九跟台灣基督長老教會關係密切。

可是我說這位大記者，閣下不知道長老教會總會才在12月8日舉行「對2012年總統及立委選舉的期待與建言」記者會，支持「認同台灣主權、棄統保台」的總統及立委候選人嗎？ 那長老教會有可能支持說過Ｎ次終統的馬英九嗎？

還是說陳志平已經跟您的長官高凌雲一樣，也是文盲、理盲兼心盲？才會寫出這種不識字兼沒衛生的可笑報導。

以下是台灣基督長老教會對2012年總統及立委選舉的期待與建言]]>
</summary> 
<content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="zh-tw" xml:base="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18601241.html">
<![CDATA[
	聯合晚報最惡質的三位記者之一陳志平（其他二位是高凌雲、黃國樑），今天寫了一篇可笑報導「<a href="http://www.google.com.tw/#hl=zh-TW&site=&q=%22%E8%97%8D%E7%87%9F%EF%BC%9A%E4%BD%9B%E6%95%99%E3%80%81%E5%A4%A9%E4%B8%BB%E6%95%99%E3%80%81%E5%9F%BA%E7%9D%A3%E6%95%99%E5%8F%AF%E6%8B%BF6%E3%80%817%E6%88%90%22&oq=%22%E8%97%8D%E7%87%9F%EF%BC%9A%E4%BD%9B%E6%95%99%E3%80%81%E5%A4%A9%E4%B8%BB%E6%95%99%E3%80%81%E5%9F%BA%E7%9D%A3%E6%95%99%E5%8F%AF%E6%8B%BF6%E3%80%817%E6%88%90%22&aq=f&aqi=&aql=&gs_sm=e&gs_upl=27531l28265l0l28562l3l3l0l0l0l0l172l374l1.2l3l0&bav=on.2,or.r_gc.r_pw.,cf.osb&fp=894f3b4d876c7e74&biw=1280&bih=630"target="_blank">藍營：佛教、天主教、基督教可拿6、7成</a>」，非常自我感覺良好地認為馬英九跟台灣基督長老教會關係密切。

可是我說這位大記者，閣下不知道長老教會總會才在12月8日舉行「<a href="http://www.pct.org.tw/news_focus.htm?strSiteID=S001&strContentID=C2011120800016&strDESC=Y"target="_blank">對2012年總統及立委選舉的期待與建言</a>」記者會，支持「認同台灣主權、棄統保台」的總統及立委候選人嗎？ 那長老教會有可能支持說過<a href="http://www.dpp.org.tw/news_content.php?&sn=5884"target="_blank">Ｎ次終統</a>的馬英九嗎？

還是說陳志平已經跟您的長官高凌雲一樣，也是<a href="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18535751.html"target="_blank">文盲、理盲兼心盲</a>？才會寫出這種不識字兼沒衛生的可笑報導。

以下是台灣基督長老教會對2012年總統及立委選舉的期待與建言
	<a href="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18601241.html">(繼續閱讀...)</a>]]>
</content>
</entry> 
 <entry> 
 <title>國民黨團又取消宇昌抹黑案記者會</title> 
 <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18588387.html" /> 
 <modified>2011-12-23T10:48:27+08:00</modified> 
 <issued>2011-12-23T10:48:27+08:00</issued> 
 <id>tag:blog.roodo.com,2011://50985.18588387</id> 
 <created>2011-12-23T10:43:17+08:00</created> 
  <author>
 <name></name> 
 <url>http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/</url> 
 
</author> 
<dc:subject>我「愛」馬英九</dc:subject> 
<summary type="text/html" mode="escaped">
<![CDATA[
本週二，國民黨團原本發簡訊通知要打宇昌案，結果卻緊急取消。

同樣的烏龍，今天又發生了。早上國民黨團本來發簡訊通知要續打宇昌案，結果再次取消。

一個曾經佔國會四分之三絕對優勢的執政黨團，現只剩下打手、走狗的功能，更在宇昌案的攻防徹底進退失據，真是丟臉、可笑至極啊！]]>
</summary> 
<content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="zh-tw" xml:base="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18588387.html">
<![CDATA[
	本週二，國民黨團原本發簡訊通知要打宇昌案，<a href="http://www.google.com.tw/#hl=zh-TW&tbm=nws&q=%22%E9%BB%A8%E5%9C%98%E6%AF%8F%E6%97%A5%E4%B8%80%E7%88%86%E7%AA%81%E5%8F%96%E6%B6%88%22&oq=%22%E9%BB%A8%E5%9C%98%E6%AF%8F%E6%97%A5%E4%B8%80%E7%88%86%E7%AA%81%E5%8F%96%E6%B6%88%22&aq=f&aqi=&aql=&gs_sm=e&gs_upl=239234l240172l3l240375l3l3l0l0l0l0l219l500l0.2.1l3l0&bav=on.2,or.r_gc.r_pw.,cf.osb&fp=a7b59583bbc19550&biw=1280&bih=630"target="_blank">結果卻緊急取消</a>。

同樣的烏龍，今天又發生了。早上國民黨團本來發簡訊通知要續打宇昌案，結果再次取消。

一個曾經佔國會四分之三絕對優勢的執政黨團，現只剩下打手、走狗的功能，更在宇昌案的攻防徹底進退失據，真是丟臉、可笑至極啊！
	]]>
</content>
</entry> 
 <entry> 
 <title>宇昌抹黑案打不下去了</title> 
 <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18584343.html" /> 
 <modified>2011-12-23T00:58:56+08:00</modified> 
 <issued>2011-12-23T00:58:56+08:00</issued> 
 <id>tag:blog.roodo.com,2011://50985.18584343</id> 
 <created>2011-12-22T23:43:51+08:00</created> 
  <author>
 <name></name> 
 <url>http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/</url> 
 
</author> 
<dc:subject>我「愛」馬英九</dc:subject> 
<summary type="text/html" mode="escaped">
<![CDATA[
馬英九競選總部指揮吳敦義內閣合演的宇昌抹黑案，早在12月13日被踢爆偽造文書後，就確定是一場惡質的政治抹黑、台版水門案。

然而，在金溥聰徹底掌握媒體優勢下，「二報一台」仍全力配合抹黑；直到12月16日，吳敦義終於受不了了，希望就此停損。蔡英文也被迫抱著病體，在辯論會前夕，再次完整說明宇昌案的前因後果。劉憶如也馬上回應說，她沒從說過宇昌、台懋是弊案。若能就此打住，馬陣營或許還有辦法稍做停損。

然而，但金溥聰完全不想罷手，還像明朝的大奸臣太監王振一樣，硬壓馬英九御駕親征，在總統辯論會親自對宇昌案大下指導棋。

主上有令，劉憶如只好硬著頭皮繼續演下去。先在18日透過聯合晚報放話，說本週就要專業提問，請蔡英文回答，且預定在20日提問。結果經建會預定在20日舉辦年終記者會，也因此取消。

到了20日當天，劉憶如又說，資料差不多了，21日可以提問。大家才恍然大悟，原來她取消年終記者會，就是怕大家逼問她啊！那天還有一件非常可笑的事，就是國民黨團原本發簡訊通知要打宇昌案，結果又緊急取消；洪秀柱聲稱，因為政府要優先處理北韓情勢的應變，宇昌案不是不談不查，只是有更重要的事情要先處理；不過馬英九本人都可以在北韓宣布金正日死訊當天，不管國安首長會議，照拼選舉了。對於專門擔任政治打手的國民黨團來說，還有什麼比抹黑蔡英文重要？除非是找不到東西來抹黑。]]>
</summary> 
<content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="zh-tw" xml:base="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18584343.html">
<![CDATA[
	馬英九競選總部指揮吳敦義內閣合演的宇昌抹黑案，早在<a href="http://www.libertytimes.com.tw/2011/new/dec/14/today-t1.htm"target="_blank">12月13日被踢爆偽造文書</a>後，就確定是一場惡質的政治抹黑、台版水門案。

然而，在金溥聰徹底掌握媒體優勢下，「二報一台」仍全力配合抹黑；直到12月16日，吳敦義終於受不了了，<a href="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18499399.html"target="_blank">希望就此停損</a>。蔡英文也被迫抱著病體，在辯論會前夕，<a href="http://www.libertytimes.com.tw/2011/new/dec/17/today-t1.htm"target="_blank">再次完整說明宇昌案的前因後果</a>。劉憶如也馬上回應說，她<a href="http://www.libertytimes.com.tw/2011/new/dec/17/today-fo1.htm"target="_blank">沒從說過宇昌、台懋是弊案</a>。若能就此打住，馬陣營或許還有辦法稍做停損。

然而，但金溥聰完全不想罷手，還像明朝的大奸臣太監王振一樣，硬壓馬英九御駕親征，在總統辯論會<a href="http://www.libertytimes.com.tw/2011/new/dec/18/today-t1.htm"target="_blank">親自對宇昌案大下指導棋</a>。

主上有令，劉憶如只好硬著頭皮繼續演下去。先在18日透過聯合晚報放話，說<a href="http://www.google.com.tw/#hl=zh-TW&site=&q=%22%E5%8A%89%E6%86%B6%E5%A6%82%E6%9C%AC%E5%91%A8%E6%8F%90%E5%95%8F+%E8%A6%81%E8%94%A1%E5%B0%88%E6%A5%AD%E5%9B%9E%E7%AD%94%22&oq=%22%E5%8A%89%E6%86%B6%E5%A6%82%E6%9C%AC%E5%91%A8%E6%8F%90%E5%95%8F+%E8%A6%81%E8%94%A1%E5%B0%88%E6%A5%AD%E5%9B%9E%E7%AD%94%22&aq=f&aqi=&aql=&gs_sm=e&gs_upl=4891l5828l0l7906l3l3l0l0l0l0l172l484l0.3l3l0&bav=on.2,or.r_gc.r_pw.,cf.osb&fp=894f3b4d876c7e74&biw=1280&bih=630"target="_blank">本週就要專業提問</a>，請蔡英文回答，且預定在20日提問。結果經建會預定在20日舉辦年終記者會，<a href="http://www.google.com.tw/#hl=zh-TW&q=%22%E7%B6%93%E5%BB%BA%E6%9C%83%E6%98%8E%E5%A4%A9%E5%B9%B4%E7%B5%82%E8%A8%98%E8%80%85%E6%9C%83%E6%93%AC%E5%8F%96%E6%B6%88%22&oq=%22%E7%B6%93%E5%BB%BA%E6%9C%83%E6%98%8E%E5%A4%A9%E5%B9%B4%E7%B5%82%E8%A8%98%E8%80%85%E6%9C%83%E6%93%AC%E5%8F%96%E6%B6%88%22&aq=f&aqi=&aql=&gs_sm=e&gs_upl=33938l33938l0l35079l1l1l0l0l0l0l172l172l0.1l1l0&bav=on.2,or.r_gc.r_pw.,cf.osb&fp=894f3b4d876c7e74&biw=1280&bih=630"target="_blank">也因此取消</a>。

到了20日當天，劉憶如又說，資料差不多了，<a href="http://www.google.com.tw/#hl=zh-TW&q=%22%E5%8A%89%E6%86%B6%E5%A6%82%E6%9C%80%E5%BF%AB21%E6%97%A5%E6%8F%90%E5%95%8F%22&oq=%22%E5%8A%89%E6%86%B6%E5%A6%82%E6%9C%80%E5%BF%AB21%E6%97%A5%E6%8F%90%E5%95%8F%22&aq=f&aqi=&aql=&gs_sm=e&gs_upl=65297l65297l2l65844l1l1l0l0l0l0l140l140l0.1l1l0&bav=on.2,or.r_gc.r_pw.,cf.osb&fp=894f3b4d876c7e74&biw=1280&bih=630"target="_blank">21日可以提問</a>。大家才恍然大悟，原來她取消年終記者會，就是怕大家逼問她啊！那天還有一件非常可笑的事，就是國民黨團原本發簡訊通知要打宇昌案，<a href="http://www.google.com.tw/#hl=zh-TW&tbm=nws&q=%22%E9%BB%A8%E5%9C%98%E6%AF%8F%E6%97%A5%E4%B8%80%E7%88%86%E7%AA%81%E5%8F%96%E6%B6%88%22&oq=%22%E9%BB%A8%E5%9C%98%E6%AF%8F%E6%97%A5%E4%B8%80%E7%88%86%E7%AA%81%E5%8F%96%E6%B6%88%22&aq=f&aqi=&aql=&gs_sm=e&gs_upl=239234l240172l3l240375l3l3l0l0l0l0l219l500l0.2.1l3l0&bav=on.2,or.r_gc.r_pw.,cf.osb&fp=a7b59583bbc19550&biw=1280&bih=630"target="_blank">結果又緊急取消</a>；洪秀柱聲稱，因為政府要優先處理北韓情勢的應變，宇昌案不是不談不查，只是有更重要的事情要先處理；不過馬英九本人都可以在北韓宣布金正日死訊當天，<a href="http://www.libertytimes.com.tw/2011/new/dec/20/today-p11.htm"target="_blank">不管國安首長會議，照拼選舉了</a>。對於專門擔任政治打手的國民黨團來說，還有什麼比抹黑蔡英文重要？除非是找不到東西來抹黑。
	<a href="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18584343.html">(繼續閱讀...)</a>]]>
</content>
</entry> 
 <entry> 
 <title>華視新聞墮落的關鍵人物陳申青</title> 
 <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18573959.html" /> 
 <modified>2011-12-21T08:51:08+08:00</modified> 
 <issued>2011-12-21T08:51:08+08:00</issued> 
 <id>tag:blog.roodo.com,2011://50985.18573959</id> 
 <created>2011-12-21T08:29:19+08:00</created> 
  <author>
 <name></name> 
 <url>http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/</url> 
 
</author> 
<dc:subject>體檢媒體</dc:subject> 
<summary type="text/html" mode="escaped">
<![CDATA[
華視新聞最近因梁春姬事件聲名大噪。有在注意看新聞的或許會發現，除了「大選情報員」愛玩變裝秀以外，華視的新聞愈來愈偏頗了，那種偏向國民黨的程度，已不下於中天或聯合報。

這其中的關鍵人物，就是金溥聰的同學陳申青。

陳申青是一手把中央社打造為馬央社的靈魂人物。他會在記者寫到對馬政府的負面說法時，要求撤稿重發，此舉讓台灣的新聞自由度降了好幾名。

陳申青也曾因為在中央社社長任內，不斷調整人事及薪資，逼退該社資深員工，全社才三百四十人，三年內就異動多達六百人次；因而遭監察院糾正。

不過陳申青志不在中央社，他的目標一直就是公廣集團。今年總算讓他跑去華視當副總經理，在他擔任副總的前後，華視就出現大幅人事調動，許多有線電視台的線上記者紛紛前進華視，接下來就是華視新聞徹底深藍化、綜藝化了。

華視新聞出問題，該檢討的不是新聞部經理、製作人或主播，那隻由金溥聰在媒體布下的黑手陳申青，才是該徹底被檢視。

以下是中央社去年底在社內所流傳的匿名信：]]>
</summary> 
<content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="zh-tw" xml:base="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18573959.html">
<![CDATA[
	華視新聞最近因梁春姬事件聲名大噪。有在注意看新聞的或許會發現，除了「大選情報員」愛玩變裝秀以外，華視的新聞愈來愈偏頗了，那種偏向國民黨的程度，已不下於中天或聯合報。

這其中的關鍵人物，就是金溥聰的同學陳申青。

陳申青是一手把中央社打造為馬央社的靈魂人物。他會在記者寫到對馬政府的負面說法時，<a href="http://tw.nextmedia.com/applenews/article/art_id/31032123/IssueID/20081009"target="_blank">要求撤稿重發</a>，此舉讓台灣的新聞自由度<a href="http://www.libertytimes.com.tw/2010/new/jul/8/today-p4.htm"target="_blank">降了好幾名</a>。

陳申青也曾因為在中央社社長任內，不斷調整人事及薪資，逼退該社資深員工，全社才三百四十人，三年內就異動多達六百人次；因而<a href="http://www.libertytimes.com.tw/2011/new/aug/12/today-p1.htm"target="_blank">遭監察院糾正</a>。

不過陳申青志不在中央社，他的目標一直就是公廣集團。今年總算讓他跑去華視當副總經理，在他擔任副總的前後，華視就出現大幅人事調動，許多有線電視台的線上記者紛紛前進華視，接下來就是華視新聞徹底深藍化、綜藝化了。

華視新聞出問題，該檢討的不是新聞部經理、製作人或主播，那隻由金溥聰在媒體布下的黑手陳申青，才是該徹底被檢視。

以下是中央社去年底在社內所流傳的匿名信：
	<a href="http://blog.roodo.com/weichen/archives/18573959.html">(繼續閱讀...)</a>]]>
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