2007-04 月份文章 顯示方式:簡文 | 列表

April 20,2007

香港貧富兩極化

香港貧富兩極化問題日益嚴重,香港理工大學中國商業中心主任陳文鴻認為這是因為香港特區政府推翻以前港英政府積極干預經濟發展政策,改為不干預政策,任由製造業和生產性服務業北移,令香港失去產生強大中產階級的產業基礎,而擴張的金融業與旅遊業只產生大量低薪的職位.

這論點有濃厚的計劃經濟味道.

全文:<政府不干預導致貧富兩極化>,陳文鴻,p.39~41明報月刊,2007,4

 


Posted by perspectives at 10:58回應(0)引用(0)經濟

April 10,2007

亞銀 vs 中時=全面 vs 斷章取義

中時4/10小社論引述亞洲開發銀行報告,說“台灣貧富差距逐漸惡化,只有兩成富人享受經濟成長果實,其他八成民眾實質所得或者停滯不前,或者持續減少。”

亞洲開發銀行的<Asian Development Outlook 2007>中,台灣部份的最後一段是Development challenges
中時引述的只是中的一句話而已,然後岔開話題,抨擊台灣對企業的租稅優惠,造成富人消費行為奢華,搶購豪宅,立委還要遺產贈與稅廢掉”,全家燒炭自殺的事情,也是日有所聞。”最後的結論是政府部門,大約不會把亞銀警語當一回事,因為,在上位者自己就是億萬富豪。台灣的窮人,只能自求多福了。”

這樣的評論只能說,缺乏專業深度與品味.

Development challenges
部份:

Two important medium-term challenges face the authorities: to
nurture new sources of growth and to redress income inequalities.

The growth engine of recent decades—electronics—has faced significant competition from low-cost producers.Most labor-intensive production has relocated to the PRC. Firms in Taipei,China still make
some high-value products and play a dominant role in regional supplychain management, but profit margins have been squeezed and their linkages to the domestic economy weakened. This is reflected in a reduction in manufacturing to 21.4% of GDP in 2006 from 37.6 % in 1986. Services, which accounted for 73% of GDP last year, are mainly oriented toward the domestic market and are dominated by small and medium enterprises, so are unlikely to expand at much faster rates than they do now. New growth sources would be fosteredif manufacturers moved further up the value chain and services firms tapped into regional markets.

Although the economy has a relatively equal income distribution,
income disparities have widened over the past decade. Only the highestearning 20% of households enjoyed gains in income in 2001–2005, partly because corporate and investment income outpaced wage income, helped by corporate tax breaks. Incomes for other groups stagnated or declined. Unskilled workers were the major losers as manufacturers relocated abroad. Some middleincome earners also suffered because of subdued growth in real wages and a disproportionate tax burden on salaried employees. The widening income gap will restrain expansion in consumption, make it more difficult to win public support for further economic liberalization, and could even induce social tensions.


亞銀報告全文


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Posted by perspectives at 8:39回應(0)引用(0)媒體

April 9,2007

中國經濟硬著陸的可能性昇高

隸屬中國時報系統的工商時報難能可貴的提醒政府與社會大眾,注意中國經濟硬著陸的因應之道

有趣的是,英國經濟學人週刊反而近年來對中國的看法不再那麼悲觀.
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Posted by perspectives at 15:52回應(0)引用(0)經濟
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