http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html/ zh-tw Roodo Blog System All Rights Reserved http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-16371487 文章回應 Wed, 07 May 2008 21:41:48 +0800 北高航線降價 比高鐵便宜 航空業積極迎戰了。看來要高鐵降價，來自替代性產品的競爭可能比輿論的壓力更有用。]]> http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-14501111 文章回應 Tue, 18 Sep 2007 15:58:05 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-11075421 ben666@seed.net.tw(北海小英雄) 文章回應 Thu, 28 Jun 2007 17:31:19 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-11039347 jychen0113@hotmail.com(jychen) 文章回應 Mon, 25 Jun 2007 16:25:24 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-10997055 文章回應 Thu, 21 Jun 2007 18:45:07 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-10997007 文章回應 Thu, 21 Jun 2007 18:33:16 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-10964107 文章回應 Wed, 20 Jun 2007 08:59:59 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-10936389 文章回應 Sat, 16 Jun 2007 23:54:29 +0800 破除財報迷思！ 最後他提了個發人省思的問題：請投資人捫心自問，你看財報作股票被坑了嗎？該怨誰還不清楚嗎？ 我也想請怨天怨地、怪東怪西怪政府的投資人捫心自問，你聽信政府鼓吹高鐵有多好被坑了嗎？若有人聽信老師或看好高鐵的人臭彈高鐵的未來多看好而買進高鐵，結果賠錢了，這應該怪政府嗎？該怨誰還不清楚嗎？]]> http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-10901929 文章回應 Wed, 13 Jun 2007 22:56:39 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-10901375 文章回應 Wed, 13 Jun 2007 22:17:42 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-10898037 ben666@seed.net.tw(北海小英雄) 文章回應 Wed, 13 Jun 2007 18:41:38 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-10564687 文章回應 Mon, 21 May 2007 22:28:37 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-10563823 文章回應 Mon, 21 May 2007 21:20:06 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-10358531 文章回應 Thu, 10 May 2007 21:44:11 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-10357907 文章回應 Thu, 10 May 2007 21:24:50 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-10344651 文章回應 Thu, 10 May 2007 07:48:10 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-10341193 文章回應 Wed, 09 May 2007 23:58:31 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084395 文章回應 Sat, 14 Apr 2007 15:10:48 +0800 http://www.books.com.tw/exep/prod/booksfile.php?item=0010181694 http://www.kingstone.com.tw/Book/Book_Page.asp?id=2015500073681&ActId=Readmore&uid=0 如果硬要舉例的話，北海小英雄在眷村長大，常去一家麵店吃麵。有一天，原本一碗50的麻醬麵漲到60元，雖然心裡不滿意，但是出於對麵食的喜愛，也只能乖乖買單。過沒幾天再去，居然降價到55元，因為老闆說60元顧客變少，他反而賺得少。我問他為什麼不降回50元？他說賣55元還是比賣50元時賺得多。過沒幾天再去，他又漲回60元了，原來這幾天麵粉，瓦斯，房租價格平均漲了20%。我問他，為什麼你的麵卻只漲10%不到？他說漲超過60元，他反而賺得少。這一個平常生活上每天都在發生的例子，我想不用圖表也能領會！]]> http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084393 ben666@seed.net.tw(北海小英雄) 文章回應 Sat, 14 Apr 2007 01:34:47 +0800 http://student.ouk.edu.tw/scheme/scheme.asp?openid=1201A]]> http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084391 文章回應 Fri, 13 Apr 2007 22:05:58 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084389 文章回應 Fri, 13 Apr 2007 21:54:21 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084387 文章回應 Fri, 13 Apr 2007 21:33:14 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084385 文章回應 Fri, 13 Apr 2007 21:19:33 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084383 文章回應 Fri, 13 Apr 2007 18:03:02 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084381 ben666@seed.net.tw(北海小英雄) 文章回應 Fri, 13 Apr 2007 14:18:41 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084379 文章回應 Fri, 13 Apr 2007 10:54:08 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084377 文章回應 Fri, 13 Apr 2007 10:30:21 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084375 文章回應 Fri, 13 Apr 2007 01:15:19 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084373 文章回應 Fri, 13 Apr 2007 00:33:02 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084371 文章回應 Fri, 13 Apr 2007 00:09:30 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084369 文章回應 Thu, 12 Apr 2007 23:50:34 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084367 文章回應 Thu, 12 Apr 2007 23:47:44 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084365 文章回應 Thu, 12 Apr 2007 23:40:36 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084363 文章回應 Thu, 12 Apr 2007 23:35:50 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084361 文章回應 Thu, 12 Apr 2007 23:22:48 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084359 文章回應 Thu, 12 Apr 2007 23:08:27 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084357 文章回應 Thu, 12 Apr 2007 22:48:21 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084355 文章回應 Thu, 12 Apr 2007 16:46:25 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084353 chiang@ascurio.org(江董) 文章回應 Thu, 12 Apr 2007 15:52:57 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084351 文章回應 Thu, 12 Apr 2007 15:19:51 +0800 http://www.socialforce.tw/phpBB/viewtopic.php?t=10982&postdays=0&postorder=asc&start=720 我的文章在4/10, 8點07分，在另一個站，有人用日本的所得和匯率，求出高鐵價格過高。我寫了這篇文章反駁。也回答一下Roger之前質疑高鐵太貴的說法。 http://www.socialforce.tw/phpBB/viewtopic.php?t=16612&postdays=0&postorder=asc&start=100 另外很多人對高鐵現在一年要交130億的利息，月營收卻只有10億左右，我為何還想買高鐵股票呢？我另一篇說明了其實高鐵還有很大的潛力。這篇文章在4/9 19點24分。 大家有不同意見是很正常的事情。從第一篇看到現在，我完全同意的文章不到三篇。可是只要舉出自己的看法即可，不用動氣。]]> http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084349 ben666@seed.net.tw(北海小英雄) 文章回應 Thu, 12 Apr 2007 13:36:52 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084347 chiang@ascurio.org(江董) 文章回應 Thu, 12 Apr 2007 12:48:52 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084345 文章回應 Thu, 12 Apr 2007 11:27:09 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084343 文章回應 Thu, 12 Apr 2007 08:33:08 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084341 文章回應 Thu, 12 Apr 2007 07:58:17 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084339 chiang@ascurio.org(江董) 文章回應 Thu, 12 Apr 2007 03:18:44 +0800 http://mops.tse.com.tw/t21/rotc/t21sc03_96_3.html 提醒江懂，想討論想辯論都行，但是想用嗆聲的方式，我是不會客氣的！]]> http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084337 文章回應 Thu, 12 Apr 2007 00:33:54 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084335 文章回應 Thu, 12 Apr 2007 00:29:00 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084333 ben666@seed.net.tw(北海小英雄) 文章回應 Thu, 12 Apr 2007 00:26:00 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084331 chiang@ascurio.org(江董) 文章回應 Thu, 12 Apr 2007 00:11:52 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084329 文章回應 Wed, 11 Apr 2007 22:17:36 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084327 文章回應 Wed, 11 Apr 2007 21:48:46 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084325 文章回應 Wed, 11 Apr 2007 21:19:44 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084323 文章回應 Wed, 11 Apr 2007 21:12:24 +0800 >>(1)如果3天後高鐵的股價來到300元（四月還遠遠沒有結束），你的邏輯還是成立。我們該買進嗎？ 這個問題其實是最簡單，但是我留在最後回答，只是考慮要不要認真的回應。 通常有人問我要不要買，應該買什麼，我通常會看對象而有不同的答案。如果是你，我會回答：是的應該買，買了就對了，房子拿去抵押，有多少就壓多少！一來因為大家素昧平生，錢也不是我的，我只是提供意見，信不信由你。既然是很會作成本效益分析的人，願不願意採納一個陌生人的建議，你應該很能評估。賺錢也不會分我一杯羹，陪錢也要怪提供意見的人嗎？ 好吧，說正經點，一個曾經交易過股票的人，應該聽過本夢比吧。如果高鐵真的出現300元（實際上市不用到100元就會被證期會釘上），那麼這個夢，可能會是許多人的惡夢。但是這個時候買進的人一定賠嗎？不一定！只是這個時候已經是在賭博，不是在投資。這時候，任何的投資理論都無用武之地。如果漲到500，你就賭贏了，但是輸的機率高很多。 以上回應大致上如此，如果不滿意，在提出來討論，當然，也提出你自己的看法吧，股票沒有專家，只有贏家與輸家]]> http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084321 文章回應 Wed, 11 Apr 2007 20:49:46 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084319 文章回應 Wed, 11 Apr 2007 20:45:39 +0800 >>我的問題是，我們怎麼知道現在市場中高鐵股東對四月的營收預期是低於十億，所以我們可以套利？他們不至於預期營收的成長率為零吧？如果不是，我們怎麼知道他們的預期是多少？ 我的看法是沒有期貨與選擇權市場，那麼要精確的看出當下的交易者對未來股價會多少的預期心理是很困難的，因為並不明顯。至於「我們怎麼知道現在市場中高鐵股東對四月的營收預期是低於十億」？其實我也不知道，因為預估「四月增班後，營收應該就破十億了」的人不是我吧？我怎麼知道他那麼肯定？可能是有我所沒有的能力也說不定。我說的套利，只是說：如果他的預估是真的，而現在事實都還沒有發生我們就先投資，等到事實確實發生了，就可以獲利了解。如果不確定預估為真，那就不算是套利了。]]> http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084317 文章回應 Wed, 11 Apr 2007 20:30:42 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084315 文章回應 Wed, 11 Apr 2007 20:20:22 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084313 文章回應 Wed, 11 Apr 2007 20:01:05 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084311 文章回應 Wed, 11 Apr 2007 19:49:32 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084309 文章回應 Wed, 11 Apr 2007 19:06:50 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084307 文章回應 Wed, 11 Apr 2007 19:05:05 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084305 文章回應 Wed, 11 Apr 2007 18:57:45 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084303 文章回應 Wed, 11 Apr 2007 18:42:00 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084301 文章回應 Wed, 11 Apr 2007 18:22:25 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084299 文章回應 Wed, 11 Apr 2007 18:14:35 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084297 文章回應 Wed, 11 Apr 2007 17:37:31 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084295 文章回應 Wed, 11 Apr 2007 15:51:02 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084293 文章回應 Wed, 11 Apr 2007 12:23:40 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084291 文章回應 Mon, 09 Apr 2007 10:56:55 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084289 文章回應 Mon, 09 Apr 2007 10:17:12 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084287 文章回應 Mon, 09 Apr 2007 08:40:04 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084285 cl458@hotmail.com(CCLu) 文章回應 Mon, 09 Apr 2007 02:54:44 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084283 文章回應 Sun, 08 Apr 2007 23:29:09 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084281 cl458@hotmail.com(CCLu) 文章回應 Sun, 08 Apr 2007 19:40:46 +0800 興櫃的股票那麼多，隨便找一下就能看到比高鐵好賺的標的。 以成交量前10名來看，先進電、昇陽、沛鑫等都比高鐵有賺頭，那為什麼還要怪高鐵讓股東少賺？]]> http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084279 文章回應 Sun, 08 Apr 2007 03:38:42 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084277 ben666@seed.net.tw(北海小英雄) 文章回應 Sun, 08 Apr 2007 00:25:11 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084275 文章回應 Mon, 02 Apr 2007 23:40:50 +0800 馬前主席的高鐵體驗]]> http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084273 文章回應 Mon, 02 Apr 2007 04:36:27 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084271 文章回應 Fri, 30 Mar 2007 12:52:18 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084269 文章回應 Fri, 30 Mar 2007 12:10:36 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084267 文章回應 Thu, 29 Mar 2007 22:08:48 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084265 文章回應 Thu, 29 Mar 2007 21:54:22 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084263 文章回應 Thu, 29 Mar 2007 10:03:56 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084261 文章回應 Thu, 29 Mar 2007 10:02:13 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084259 文章回應 Thu, 29 Mar 2007 01:56:17 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084257 文章回應 Thu, 29 Mar 2007 00:11:51 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084255 文章回應 Thu, 29 Mar 2007 00:00:23 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084253 文章回應 Tue, 27 Mar 2007 09:28:05 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084251 文章回應 Wed, 21 Mar 2007 00:47:56 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084249 文章回應 Tue, 20 Mar 2007 17:50:01 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084247 文章回應 Sat, 17 Mar 2007 23:39:26 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084245 文章回應 Sat, 17 Mar 2007 00:36:06 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084243 文章回應 Fri, 16 Mar 2007 22:42:36 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084241 ben666@seed.net.tw(北海小英雄) 文章回應 Fri, 16 Mar 2007 18:06:40 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084239 文章回應 Fri, 16 Mar 2007 00:13:33 +0800 http://tw.news.yahoo.com/article/url/d/a/070315/2/blbc.html 上面劉館長有推測高鐵的載客率大概達到8成了，想必國內線的航空業者的業績，受到的影響應該不小。 高鐵不降價，不採差別取價，載客率依然可達8成，也難怪國內線機票開始採行差別取價，搶攻市場。 高鐵是否是獨占，我比較趨向否定的觀點，以北高線為例，雖說搭飛機需要check-in，但由於小港機場與高鐵左營站分別座落在高雄的南北邊，以住在南高雄的乘客來講，搭飛機可能比搭高鐵更省時間，也更方便，加上票價差不多的話，高鐵不一定會有競爭優勢(但高捷全面開通後，情況可能會有所改變)。 不過，我認為高鐵的票價是否有調降的空間、高鐵能否在未來獲取高額的獨占利益，其中，消費者的偏好是一個關鍵、此外高鐵站的聯外交通系統的規劃也是另一個關鍵---光左營站前的高鐵路不能騎機車通過，並且此出口沒有機車停車場，害我的小綿羊可能遭到開罰單的命運，我就不爽搭高鐵了。 還有一點，若把高速鐵路視為一個單一的市場，那就是絕此一家，別無分號， 整個聯外交通的設計，好像沒有太大的incentive去改善、規劃屬於每個城市的交通文化的系統。---他們是不知道高雄是一個沒機車等於沒腳的地方嗎??? (我在剛開通的幾天，跟在高鐵路現場擋機車的警察聊過，整理出的結論是...港都人與小綿羊的革命情感，並不是那些外地來的高鐵人能懂的!) 所以，機票降價，若能對高鐵產生一點威脅，我倒覺得不錯，有競爭才會更好! 理性暫時丟一旁，想想，高鐵能通車，全民已經買了多少單了？ 社會效用能極大化, 對我這鄉民來說，無非是一大福音! 管他高鐵賺不賺錢，反正賺了也不會是我的! 鄉民們能以最低成本取得最高的效用--才是王道!]]> http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084237 文章回應 Thu, 15 Mar 2007 20:19:51 +0800 打高鐵 國內機票大降價 市場說明了一切。]]> http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084235 文章回應 Thu, 15 Mar 2007 19:56:14 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084233 文章回應 Wed, 14 Mar 2007 23:59:30 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084231 文章回應 Wed, 14 Mar 2007 23:46:30 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084229 文章回應 Wed, 14 Mar 2007 23:06:03 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084227 文章回應 Wed, 14 Mar 2007 20:05:43 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084225 文章回應 Wed, 14 Mar 2007 20:04:32 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084223 文章回應 Wed, 14 Mar 2007 19:53:47 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084221 文章回應 Wed, 14 Mar 2007 19:18:13 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084219 文章回應 Wed, 14 Mar 2007 18:51:02 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084217 文章回應 Wed, 14 Mar 2007 12:38:50 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084215 文章回應 Tue, 13 Mar 2007 18:20:05 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084213 文章回應 Tue, 13 Mar 2007 16:46:17 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084211 文章回應 Tue, 13 Mar 2007 16:14:21 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084209 文章回應 Tue, 13 Mar 2007 15:26:41 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084207 文章回應 Tue, 13 Mar 2007 14:33:19 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084205 文章回應 Tue, 13 Mar 2007 14:17:15 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084203 文章回應 Tue, 13 Mar 2007 01:33:43 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084201 文章回應 Tue, 13 Mar 2007 01:21:26 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084199 文章回應 Mon, 12 Mar 2007 23:31:49 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084197 文章回應 Mon, 12 Mar 2007 20:10:20 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084195 文章回應 Mon, 12 Mar 2007 18:36:08 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084193 文章回應 Mon, 12 Mar 2007 13:54:51 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084191 文章回應 Sun, 11 Mar 2007 22:46:52 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084189 文章回應 Sun, 11 Mar 2007 19:45:43 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084187 文章回應 Sun, 11 Mar 2007 17:50:01 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084185 文章回應 Sun, 11 Mar 2007 16:23:51 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084183 文章回應 Sun, 11 Mar 2007 15:26:07 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084181 文章回應 Sun, 11 Mar 2007 01:17:04 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084179 文章回應 Sun, 11 Mar 2007 00:27:08 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084177 文章回應 Sat, 10 Mar 2007 23:23:24 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084175 文章回應 Sat, 10 Mar 2007 23:07:24 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084173 ckjbar@gmail.com(4) 文章回應 Sat, 10 Mar 2007 22:23:25 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084171 文章回應 Sat, 10 Mar 2007 12:58:07 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084169 文章回應 Sat, 10 Mar 2007 11:24:00 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084167 文章回應 Sat, 10 Mar 2007 11:21:01 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084165 文章回應 Fri, 09 Mar 2007 18:52:52 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084163 文章回應 Fri, 09 Mar 2007 15:37:51 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084161 文章回應 Fri, 09 Mar 2007 10:18:25 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084159 文章回應 Thu, 08 Mar 2007 23:43:19 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084157 文章回應 Thu, 08 Mar 2007 22:54:37 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084155 文章回應 Thu, 08 Mar 2007 00:49:11 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084153 文章回應 Wed, 07 Mar 2007 22:10:48 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084151 文章回應 Wed, 07 Mar 2007 21:42:32 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084149 文章回應 Wed, 07 Mar 2007 21:40:32 +0800 http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html http://blog.roodo.com/lakatos/archives/2816095.html#comment-7084147 文章回應 Wed, 07 Mar 2007 21:24:34 +0800