April 1,2006

吉米股市巡航專欄(12)-談談金融股 <之二>

聯準會(Fed)28日宣布調高利率,其決策小組聯邦公開市場操作委員會(FOMC)一致決議,調升聯邦基金利率25個百分點到4.75%,聯準會的聲明內容重點如下:「2005年第四季實質國內生產毛額的走緩,大抵已反映出一些短暫性或特殊的因素了。至於本季經濟成長的強勁彈升,看來應該會放慢為較持久的成長步調才是。能源和其他商品價格的上揚,對通貨膨脹顯然只有溫和的影響,而生產力的持續提升也讓勞動成本的增長得以控制。」「然而,資源使用率的攀升,能源和其他商品價格的上漲,都會成為加重通貨膨脹的潛在壓力。因此,為了讓經濟持續成長與物價穩定兩者的風險保持均衡,進一步的政策緊縮或將有其必要。」

這次會議是柏南克接替葛林斯班出任Fed主席之後,首次主持的FOMC會議。調高後的利率4.75%是2001年4月以來的最高水準,也是2004年6月之後的第15度升息。
週二午後,金融類股帶頭殺盤,當日三大指數悉數收黑。道瓊指數下跌95.點多,收約11,154點;標準普爾500與那斯達克指數也分別下跌8點來到1293及11點來到2305。大盤隔日續戰,週三卻見盤中金融類股由AMTD(盈餘利多)攻堅,科技類則是GOOG(3/31納入標準普爾500指數)領軍,三大指數一路走北,終場道瓊指數揚升61點,收11,215點;標準普爾500指數上漲9點,來到1302,那斯達克指數則大漲33點,收在五年高水準2337。
合併TD WATERHOUSE後的AMTD(股價約21,年度區間10-26)實力大增,目前已成為全美最大線上券商了。再來二支証券股供參考:全美最大籌資發行券商GS(157,95-157),老牌資產管理券商LM(125,70-140)。(吉米返台休假,專欄將暫停一個月。)
(任何投資都一定會伴隨著風險,因此,在你投資或買賣股票前,請做好合乎你自身的風險評估。)

Posted by freemanh at 樂多Roodo! │18:14 │回應(10)引用(3)股市巡航
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