國立政治大學國際事務學院「外交政策研究中心」網誌-FP 專論

新政府「活路外交」政策之回顧與檢討

Tue, 05 May 2009 14:51:20 +0800

新政府「活路外交」政策之回顧與檢討

蔡東杰中興大學國際政治研究所教授

壹、相關概念之發展背景

（一）活路外交路線的提出：根據馬英九總統候選人在2007年推出的政策白皮書內容，他強調將以四項原則走出外交的活路，亦即：維護主權（努力提升與無邦交國關係，設法建立正式外交關係，並於國際場合中保護主權標幟）、經濟實力（利用全球化時代中外交與經濟密不可分的特徵，善用台灣經濟實力來拓展外交）、彈性務實（尤其在名稱保持彈性的原則下參加國際組織）、平等尊嚴（無論以何名稱參與國際活動，都要遵循平等互惠及堅持尊嚴之原則），由此亦開啟所謂「活路外交」的相關概念。

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活路外交下的政策方針與藍圖

Tue, 05 May 2009 14:07:43 +0800

活路外交下的政策方針與藍圖

宋興洲東海大學政治系教授

一、前言

台灣國際處境困難，尤其近年來中國大陸經濟發展快速，在全球和區域政治的影響力愈來愈大，也使台灣外交空間受到壓縮。在兩岸長期對峙的情況下，倘若台灣仍然選擇以改變政治現狀作為外交的主戰場，不僅缺乏相應的綜合實力及國際支持，也會造成兩岸不必要之緊張與衝撞。 (繼續閱讀...)

Needed: A New Taiwanese Approach to Public Diplomacy

Sat, 10 Jan 2009 13:40:52 +0800

FP Note No.5 (Jan 9, 2009)
Needed: A New Taiwanese Approach to Public Diplomacy

William C. Vocke, Jr.
Senior Fellow and Senior Program DirectorCarnegie Council for Ethics in International Affairs

A Limits Approach to the “New Public Diplomacy”
Three transformative factors caused public diplomacy to morph in the last two decades: communications technology, the global growth of civil society, and the proliferation of democratic governments and free markets. These accentuated several trends in public diplomacy which accelerated over the last 200 years.

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America’s Problems in the Global War on Terror

Wed, 29 Oct 2008 16:36:01 +0800

FP Note No. 4 (Oct 13, 2008)

America’s Problems in the Global War on Terror

George H. Quester
University of Maryland

The September 11, 2001 attacks on the World Trade Center and on the Pentagon shocked the Bush administration, and Americans in general. Before these attacks, terrorism had been seen as a relatively minor problem, sometimes but not always driven by an Islamic fundamentalism that seemed opposed to all modernity and religious tolerance. The danger seemed limited to the taking hostage of a single airliner and its passengers, which could be acceptably minimized by a basic set of security controls at airports. But now the risk loomed that there would be no limit to the magnitude of the destruction that Islamic terrorists in particular would seek to inflict.

The Bush administration had declared in its election campaign that it intended to be less interested in serving as a policeman for the world, but it might now have to be much more interventionist, if only to prevent the killing of thousands of Americans in future attacks on the pattern of 9/11.

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重探不情願的巨龍：胡錦濤政權下的中國經濟外交策略 -- by 中國事務專家 Lawrence Reardon (雷敦克)

Sun, 24 Aug 2008 22:17:55 +0800

FP Note No. 3 (August 24, 2008)

重探不情願的巨龍：胡錦濤政權下的中國經濟外交策略

Lawrence C. Reardon
University of New Hampshire

在日前令人印象深刻的2008年北京奧運開幕式後，金融時報(Financial Times)於8月11日預測中國將取代美國成為世界上最大的工業產品製造者。當中國慶祝實行「對外開放」政策三十周年以及建國六十周年之時，吾人更應當理解中國何以成為世界上最重要的發展中經濟體。

其中一項中國崛起的關鍵因素乃是中國的轉型，自原先自力更生式、內在目標的革命式發展典範(revolutionary development paradigm)轉移至發展市場經濟與出口導向的技術專家發展典範(technocratic development paradigm)。本篇論文主要的目標便是探索此種轉變的成因，尤其包括了革命的菁英份子是如何理解先前革命典範的侷限性，以及新一代的中國領導階層是如何追求新式的技術發展典範。

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The South China Sea: The Phoenix Rises from Its Ashes? --by 海洋政策專家Mark J. Valencia

Thu, 31 Jul 2008 17:54:48 +0800

FP Note No. 2 (July 31, 2008)

THE SOUTH CHINA SEA:
THE PHOENIX RISES FROM ITS ASHES?
（南海：浴火重生的鳳凰？）

Mark J. Valencia
Maritime Policy Analyst
Kaneohe, Hawaii

As the ASEAN Regional Forum (ARF) convenes in Singapore, it would do well to revisit the South China Sea issues. Like an evil phoenix rising from its ashes, China's behavior in the South China Sea has become more confrontational than co-operative and deserves renewed ASEAN attention.

When China signed on to the 2002 ASEAN Declaration on Conduct in the South China Sea, ASEAN policy makers breathed a sigh of relief at what they viewed as a major achievement. After all, the non-binding Declaration called on all parties to " exercise self-restraint in the conduct of activities that would complicate or escalate disputes". And when China and the Philippines entered into a joint marine seismic undertaking (JMSU) in a disputed area of the South China Sea—and allowed Vietnam to join as well –some policy makers and analysts were ecstatic. Their fondest dreams had been realized. China had been "tamed". It would be a benign co-operative neighbor and observe international norms of law and behavior. ASEAN attention soon turned to other more pressing matters—like terrorism, Myanmar, the ASEAN Charter and revitalizing the ARF. (繼續閱讀...)

The Disorder of the Prevailing International Order -- by 外交決策分析大師James Rosenau

Tue, 01 Jul 2008 23:13:56 +0800

FP Note No. 1 (June 18, 2008)

THE DISORDER OF THE PREVAILING INTERNATIONAL ORDER
(當前國際秩序的失序)

James N. Rosenau （羅森諾/羅西瑙）
University Professor
Elliott School of International Affairs
The George Washington University

The collapse of the Cold War and the Soviet Union led to an explosion of literature as analysts grasped to comprehend the newly emerging global structures. Most of this literature predicted the consolidation of authority in the world; a spate of books focused on “empire” as the basic mode of consolidation, while a few analysts reached for the even broader entity, “civilization”. That such a consolidation might not emerge, that authority might proliferate and disaggregate instead, was---and is---not widely considered plausible. ... (繼續閱讀...)